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general:uncertainty_evaluation:start [2021/01/20 07:51] – Fix links to spreadsheet files hausmann | general:uncertainty_evaluation:start [2021/12/15 20:00] (current) – external edit 127.0.0.1 | ||
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+ | ====== Chapter 1.7 - General Uncertainty Evaluation ===== | ||
+ | |||
===== Introduction ===== | ===== Introduction ===== | ||
+ | |||
{{ general: | {{ general: | ||
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Germany currently reports detailed uncertainty information for five pollutants: NO< | Germany currently reports detailed uncertainty information for five pollutants: NO< | ||
- | ^ ^ Base year [kt] ^ 2018 [kt] ^ Trend [%] ^ Method | + | ^ ^ Base year [kt] ^ 2019 [kt] ^ Trend [%] ^ Method |
- | ^ NO< | + | ^ NO< |
- | | |||| MC | -10.09 | +12.36 | -6.88 | | + | | |||| MC | -10.83 | +14.23 | -8.65 | +14.07 | -16.78 | +19.78 | |
- | ^ SO< | + | ^ SO< |
- | | |||| MC | -8.05 | +8.86 | -7.61 | +7.91 | -2.15 | +2.33 | | + | | |||| MC | -8.02 | +8.94 | -6.47 | +6.87 | -1.84 | +1.96 | |
- | ^ NMVOC | + | ^ NMVOC |
- | | |||| MC | -14.00 | +21.45 | -13.27 | +21.67 | -20.24 | +25.3 | | + | | |||| MC | -14.58 | +22.58 | -15.22 | +29.25 | -22.98 | |
- | ^ NH< | + | ^ NH< |
- | | |||| MC | -10.08 | +11.30 | -9.59 | +9.80 | -498.94 | +535.84 | | + | | |||| MC | -10.19 | +11.70 | -9.49 | +9.86 | -336.77 | +364.82 | |
- | ^ PM< | + | ^ PM< |
- | | |||| MC | -10.33 | +12.57 | -15.16 | +17.10 | -15.93 | +18.55 | | + | | |||| MC | -10.72 | +12.82 | -16.54 | +19.03 | -16.90 | +19.53 | |
===== Uncertainties per pollutant ===== | ===== Uncertainties per pollutant ===== | ||
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{{general: | {{general: | ||
- | Compared to other pollutants, NO< | + | Compared to other pollutants, NO< |
- | Using the MC simulation, the top three contributors to the overall uncertainty are [[sector: | + | Using the MC simulation, the top three contributors to the overall uncertainty are [[sector: |
==== SO2 ==== | ==== SO2 ==== | ||
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{{general: | {{general: | ||
- | SO< | + | SO< |
==== NMVOC ==== | ==== NMVOC ==== | ||
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{{general: | {{general: | ||
- | NMVOC emissions and trends are driven by solvent use. While solvent contents of most products | + | NMVOC emissions and trends are driven by solvent use. While solvent contents of most products |
==== NH3 ==== | ==== NH3 ==== | ||
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{{general: | {{general: | ||
- | Uncertainty in the NH< | + | Uncertainty in the NH< |
==== PM2.5 ==== | ==== PM2.5 ==== | ||
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{{general: | {{general: | ||
- | PM< | + | PM< |
===== Other pollutants ===== | ===== Other pollutants ===== | ||
There is currently no uncertainty assessment for additional air pollutants, heavy metals and POPs. Germany seeks to expand the list of pollutants covered as resources allow. | There is currently no uncertainty assessment for additional air pollutants, heavy metals and POPs. Germany seeks to expand the list of pollutants covered as resources allow. |