1.A.3.a i (i) - International Civil Aviation: LTO

Short description

In NFR category 1.A.3.a i (i) - International Civil Aviation: LTO emissions during LTO stage (Landing/Take-off: 0-3,000 feet) are reported. In the following, information on sub-category specific AD, (implied) emission factors and emission estimates are provided.

Category Code Method AD EF
1.A.3.a i(i) T1, T2, T3 NS, M CS, D, M

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Method(s) applied
D Default
T1 Tier 1 / Simple Methodology *
T2 Tier 2*
T3 Tier 3 / Detailed Methodology *
C CORINAIR
CS Country Specific
M Model
* as described in the EMEP/EEA Emission Inventory Guidebook - 2019, in category chapters.
(source for) Activity Data
NS National Statistics
RS Regional Statistics
IS International Statistics
PS Plant Specific
As Associations, business organisations
Q specific Questionnaires (or surveys)
M Model / Modelled
C Confidential
(source for) Emission Factors
D Default (EMEP Guidebook)
CS Country Specific
PS Plant Specific
M Model / Modelled
C Confidential

NOx NMVOC SO2 NH3 PM2.5 PM10 TSP BC CO Pb Cd Hg As Cr Cu Ni Se Zn PCDD/F B(a)P B(b)F B(k)F I(x)P PAH1-4 HCB PCBs
-/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- NE -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- NA NA

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L/- key source by Level only
-/T key source by Trend only
L/T key source by both Level and Trend
-/- no key source for this pollutant
IE emission of specific pollutant Included Elsewhere (i.e. in another category)
NE emission of specific pollutant Not Estimated (yet)
NA specific pollutant not emitted from this source or activity = Not Applicable
* no analysis done

Methodology

Actitvity Data

Specific jet kerosene consumption during LTO-stage is calculated within TREMOD AV as described in the main chapter on civil aviation.

Table 1: Percentual annual fuel consumption during LTO-stage of international flights

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Jet Kerosene 7.55 8.25 7.42 7.13 7.59 8.37 8.01 7.44 7.43 7.71 7.25 6.08 6.13
Aviation Gasoline 1.89 1.84 1.82 1.89 1.87 1.74 6.80 6.63 7.44 7.59 9.09 20.9 19.9

source: Knörr et al. (2023c) 1) &: Gores (2023) 2)

Table 2: annual LTO fuel consumption for international flights, in terajoule

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Jet Kerosene 12,364 16,785 19,619 22,351 25,149 27,961 28,920 29,629 30,477 31,355 13,603 15,084 22,751
Aviation Gasoline 6.44 2.96 2.82 1.81 1.46 1.37 0.76 0.83 1.05 0.95 0.49 2.40 2.51
12,370 16,788 19,622 22,353 25,150 27,963 28,920 29,630 30,478 31,356 13,604 15,087 22,754

source: Knörr et al. (2023c) 3) &: Gores (2023) 4)

Annual energy input: kerosene Annual energy input: aviation gasoline

Emission factors

All country specific emission factors used for emission reporting were basically ascertained within UBA project FKZ 360 16 029 (Knörr, W., Schacht, A., & Gores, S. (2010)) 5) and have since then been compiled, revised and maintained in TREMOD AV 6).

For more information, please see superordinate chapter on civil aviation.

Table 2: Annual country-specific emission factors, in kg/TJ

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
JET KEROSENE
NH3 3.98 3.95 3.95 3.97 3.97 3.97 3.97 3.97 3.97 3.97 3.97 3.97 3.97
NMVOC 61.7 37.5 27.0 23.7 21.9 21.3 20.9 21.4 22.2 20.0 20.7 19.1 18.9
NOx 296 306 302 323 342 352 357 357 355 358 368 367 365
SOx 19.7 19.5 19.5 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6
BC1 1.75 1.61 1.44 1.36 1.20 1.13 1.11 1.10 1.10 1.06 1.05 1.06 1.08
PM2 3.65 3.35 2.99 2.82 2.49 2.35 2.32 2.29 2.29 2.22 2.19 2.21 2.24
CO 253 230 240 221 204 198 193 193 197 189 189 189 187
AVIATION GASOLINE
NH3 NE
NMVOC 619 636 659 678 665 668 653 644 651 642 634 667 667
NOx 101 96.1 92.7 91.9 91.3 96.7 97.4 98.2 80.4 75.8 72.8 95.7 97.9
SOx 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46
BC1 4.06 4.59 4.92 4.90 4.98 4.25 4.10 4.02 6.95 7.71 8.13 4.53 4.18
PM2 27.0 30.6 32.8 32.6 33.2 28.3 27.3 26.8 46.4 51.4 54.2 30.2 27.9
TSP3 42.2 45.8 48.0 47.8 48.4 43.5 42.5 42.0 61.5 66.6 69.3 45.4 43.0
CO 15,535 16,276 16,792 16,174 16,885 16,141 16,441 16,754 19,006 19,952 20,619 16,543 16,262

1 estimated via a f-BCs (avgas: 0.15, jet kerosene: 0.48) as provided in 7)
2 EF(PM2.5) also applied for PM10 and TSP (assumption: > 99% of TSP from diesel oil combustion consists of PM2.5)
3 also including TSP from lead: EF(TSP) = 1.6 x EF(Pb) - see road transport

For the country-specific emission factors applied for particulate matter, no clear indication is available, whether or not condensables are included.

</WRAP> NFR sub-category 1.A.3.a i (i) is no key source for emissions. </WRAP>

Basically, emission trends corespond directly with fuel consumption, resulting in a strong but temporary decline during an right after the Covid-19 pandemic. Here, fuel consumption and, hence, emissions show a steady upwards trend again in 2021 and 2022 for international flights, already reaching about 2/3 of its pre-pandemic levels. In contrast, fuel consumption and emissions of domestic flights show no such strong “regeneration” yet (see related sub-chapters).

Annual ammonia emissions Annual sulphur oxides emissions Annual nitrogen oxides emissions

Recalculations

As mentioned in the superordinate chapter on 1.A.3.a, the LTO fuel consumptions applied in TREMOD AV have been adapted to Eurocontrol AEM model and the underlying fleet composition.

Hence, the percentual annual shares of kerosene consumed during L/TO for international flights have been re-estimated…

Table 3: Revised percentual share of kerosene and avgas consumed during L/TO for international flights, in %

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
JET KEROSENE
current submission 7.55 8.25 7.42 7.13 7.59 8.37 8.01 7.44 7.43 7.71 7.25 6.08
previous submission 7.53 8.25 7.37 7.12 7.58 8.38 8.01 7.45 7.45 7.74 7.32 6.10
absolute change 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.02
relative change 0.16% 0.04% 0.57% 0.09% 0.03% -0.11% -0.09% -0.13% -0.26% -0.43% -0.89% -0.35%
AVGAS
current submission 1.89 1.84 1.82 1.89 1.87 1.74 6.80 6.63 7.44 7.59 9.09 20.92
previous submission 3.35 3.39 3.44 3.44 3.56 3.54 6.19 6.16 6.70 6.89 7.34 19.5
absolute change -1.46 -1.55 -1.62 -1.55 -1.69 -1.80 0.60 0.47 0.74 0.70 1.75 1.44
relative change -43.5% -45.7% -47.2% -45.2% -47.4% -50.9% 9.77% 7.69% 11.0% 10.2% 23.9% 7.41%

… and the amounts of kerosene allocated to sub-category 1.A.3.a i (i) were revised accordingly:

Table 4: Revised fuel-use in 1.A.3.a i (i), in terajoules

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
JET KEROSENE
current submission 12,364 16,785 19,619 22,351 25,149 27,961 28,920 29,629 30,477 31,355 13,603 15,084
previous submission 12,380 16,807 19,562 22,356 25,161 28,008 28,963 29,683 30,549 31,436 13,674 15,118
absolute change -15.7 -22.3 56.9 -4.5 -12.1 -46.8 -43.1 -53.1 -71.6 -80.3 -70.9 -33.2
relative change -0.13% -0.13% 0.29% -0.02% -0.05% -0.17% -0.15% -0.18% -0.23% -0.26% -0.52% -0.22%
AVGAS
current submission 6.44 2.96 2.82 1.81 1.46 1.37 0.76 0.83 1.05 0.95 0.49 2.40
previous submission 17.1 7.41 7.83 5.29 4.58 3.61 2.37 2.38 2.31 1.73 0.95 2.53
absolute change -10.7 -4.45 -5.00 -3.48 -3.12 -2.24 -1.62 -1.55 -1.26 -0.78 -0.46 -0.13
relative change -62.4% -60.0% -63.9% -65.7% -68.1% -62.1% -68.1% -65.2% -54.5% -45.2% -48.2% -5.24%

In parallel, the majority of country-specific emission factors has been revised within TREMOD AV based on information available from the Eurocontrol's AEM model, taking into account the development of fleet composition and engine technology but cannot be displayed here in a proper way.

For pollutant-specific information on recalculated emission estimates for Base Year and 2021, please see the recalculation tables following chapter 8.1 - Recalculations.

Uncertainties

For information on uncertainties, please see the main chapter on civil aviation.

Planned improvements

For information on planned improvements, please see main chapter on civil aviation.

FAQs


1), 3), 6) Knörr et al. (2023c): Knörr, W., Schacht, A., & Gores, S.: TREMOD Aviation (TREMOD AV) - Revision des Modells zur Berechnung des Flugverkehrs (TREMOD-AV). Heidelberg, Berlin: Ifeu Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH & Öko-Institut e.V., Berlin & Heidelberg, 2023.
2), 4) Gores (2023): Inventartool zum deutschen Flugverkehrsinventar 1990-2022, im Rahmen der Aktualisierung des Moduls TREMOD-AV im Transportemissionsmodell TREMOD, Berlin, 2023.
5) Knörr, W., Schacht, A., & Gores, S. (2010): Entwicklung eines eigenständigen Modells zur Berechnung des Flugverkehrs (TREMOD-AV) : Endbericht. Endbericht zum F+E-Vorhaben 360 16 029, URL: https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/publikationen/entwicklung-eines-modells-zur-berechnung; Berlin & Heidelberg, 2012.