1.A.3.b - Transport: Road Transport

Short description

In category 1.A.3.b - Road Transport emissions from fuel combustion activities as well as abrasive and fugitive emissions are reported within the following categories:

Emissions from motorised road traffic in Germany are reported under this category. It includes traffic on public roads within Germany, except for agricultural and forestry transports and military transports. Calculations are made for the vehicle categories of passenger cars, motorcycles, light duty vehicles, heavy duty vehicles and buses. For calculation purposes, the vehicle categories are broken down into so-called vehicle layers with the same emissions behaviour. To this end, vehicle categories are also broken down by type of fuel used, vehicle size (trucks and buses by weight class; automobiles and motorcycles by engine displacement) and pollution control equipment used, as defined by EU directives for emissions control (“EURO norms”), and by regional traffic distribution (outside of cities, in cities and autobahn).

Since 1990, emissions of NOx, CO, NMVOC and SO2 from road transports have decreased sharply, due to catalytic-converter use and engine improvements resulting from continual tightening of emissions laws, and due to improved fuel quality.

For buses and heavy duty vehicles (over 3.5 t total permissible vehicle weight), maximum permissible levels of hydrocarbon (HC, incl. NMVOC) emissions were lowered especially sharply (-40%) via the introduction of the EURO3 standard in 2000. Since EURO3 vehicles were very quick to reach the market as of 2000, the emission factor for hydrocarbon emissions from diesel fuel - and the relevant emissions themselves – decreased considerably after 2000.

Methodology

Emissions are calculated with the aid of the TREMOD, the “Transport Emission Estimation Model” maintained by Knörr et al. 1).

This model adopts a “bottom-up” (tier3) approach whereby mileage of the individual vehicle layers is multiplied by region-specific emission factors. For passenger cars and light duty vehicles, a “cold start surplus” is also added. The total consumption calculated on the basis of fuel type is compared with the consumption according to the Energy Balance. The emissions are then corrected with the aid of factors obtained from this comparison process. For petrol-powered vehicles, the evaporation emissions of VOC are calculated in keeping with the pollution-control technology used. From the emissions and fuel consumption for the various vehicle layers, aggregated, fuelbased emission factors (kg of emissions per TJ of fuel consumption) are derived, and then the emission factors are forwarded to the CSE via a relevant interface. In keeping with the CORINAIR report structure, these factors are differentiated only by type of fuel, type of road (autobahn, rural road, city road) and, within the vehicle categories, by “without/with emissions-control equipment”. The following emissions-control categories are differentiated:

For calculation with TREMOD, extensive basic data from generally accessible statistics and special surveys were used, co-ordinated, and supplemented. An overview of the principal sources and key assumptions is given below. Detailed descriptions of the databases, including information on the sources used, and the calculation methods used in TREMOD, are provided in the aforementioned IFEU report.

Activity Data

The basis for CSE data collection for the road-transport sector consists of fuel consumption data provided by the Working Group on Energy Balances (AGEB) 2). For each year, the sum of the activity rates for the various individual structural elements must correspond to the Energy Balance data, in terajoule. The relevant basic Energy Balance data is shown in the table below.

Table 1: Energy input in German road transport, in terajoules

Diesel oil Gasoline LPG Natural Gas1 Petroleum2 Biodiesel Biogasoline Biomethane Lubricants3 TOTAL
1990 735,920 1,330,479 138 2,543 2,069,080
1991 785,174 1,332,285 137 1,702 2,119,298
1992 853,502 1,344,129 229 1,299 2,199,159
1993 907,787 1,350,617 184 473 872 2,259,933
1994 932,060 1,276,637 184 559 596 2,210,036
1995 964,013 1,299,982 138 610 1,504 455 2,266,702
1996 964,580 1,299,879 115 638 2,046 372 2,267,630
1997 979,586 1,297,487 106 357 3,652 266 2,281,454
1998 1,022,794 1,300,463 106 637 4,081 206 2,328,287
1999 1,097,036 1,300,602 100 637 5,370 116 2,403,861
2000 1,108,105 1,237,055 94,0 414 12,276 82,7 2,358,027
2001 1,097,416 1,199,318 98,0 471 16,740 74,5 2,314,117
2002 1,105,842 1,166,381 607 472 20,460 77,3 2,293,839
2003 1,069,729 1,107,428 697 2,488 29,948 72,8 2,210,363
2004 1,102,318 1,073,174 1,892 2,774 38,886 1,143 72,4 2,220,259
2005 1,081,211 1,002,361 2,369 3,127 72,055 6,809 79,3 2,168,012
2006 1,125,137 967,016 6,399 4,446 130,539 13,405 79,6 2,247,022
2007 1,065,886 891,408 10,519 4,089 143,658 12,041 79,7 2,127,680
2008 1,090,704 852,680 17,732 4,884 109,785 16,301 14,0 83,6 2,092,184
2009 1,113,086 827,600 23,777 5,302 90,015 23,689 47,0 88,7 2,083,604
2010 1,155,828 790,544 22,987 5,491 89,471 30,548 270 82,5 2,095,222
2011 1,182,061 787,483 23,337 5,579 83,302 32,268 333 80,1 2,114,443
2012 1,211,695 739,581 20,860 5,784 86,067 32,746 1,200 75,4 2,098,008
2013 1,267,041 738,174 22,682 5,874 75,817 31,613 1,737 77,7 2,143,016
2014 1,287,335 741,983 20,247 5,673 79,339 32,235 1,617 74,2 2,168,503
2015 1,342,885 731,258 18,709 5,837 73,652 30,770 1,242 80,4 2,204,434
2016 1,380,618 732,014 17,767 5,369 73,826 30,834 1,363 82,6 2,241,872
2017 1,427,136 735,005 15,775 5,161 76,193 30,344 1,603 79,5 2,291,297
2018 1,385,288 713,836 16,966 5,068 79,978 31,134 1,399 78,5 2,233,748
2019 1,391,411 720,708 14,747 4,840 79,049 30,156 2,378 79,6 2,243,369
2020 1,244,496 649,012 10,205 4,727 103,010 28,734 3,181 82,6 2,043,447
2021 1,255,404 653,665 9,520 8,047 87,149 30,160 3,474 73,0 2,047,493
2022 1,252,038 674,363 9,054 7,858 86,632 31,169 4,796 78,1 2,065,989
2023 1,189,167 690,409 7,921 6,943 88,469 32,793 7,035 68,9 2,022,807
2024 1,175,978 703,886 7,661 2,429 71,995 32,931 12,775 68,8 2,007,725
1: including both CNG (Compressed Natural Gas) and LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas)
2: applied only from 1993 to 2002 in a small number of buses (se chapter on NFR 1.A.3.b iii)
3: amounts of lubricants unintentionally co-incinerated in road vehicles (lubricants intentionally co-incinerated in 2-stroke road vehicles are taken into account in NFR 2.D.3.i Mobile Use of Lubricants


The following chart illustrates the trend to diesel vehicles operated in Germany, the so-called “Dieselization” with the amounts of fossil diesel oil exceeing those of fossil gasoline fuels from 2004 onwards.

 Vizualisation of so-called "Dieselization"

For more information on the derivation of activity data and the emission factors applied, please refer to the sub-ordinate chapters as well as Appendix 2.2.

Chart 2 illustrates the increase in annual mileage of electric road vehicles in 106 kilometers. Despite the exponential growth, only about 1.8 per cent of annual mileage was “electric” in 2022 (13 Mio km of 682 Mio km).

 Annual mileage of electric road vehicles

Table 2: Electric energy input as of 2012, in terajoules

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Passenger Cars 36.0 60.7 103 164 244 399 650 1,109 2,097 4,943 9,369 14,806 19,250
Light-Duty Vehicles 17.3 25.1 34.1 44.4 61.2 101 163 235 285 450 692 1,023 1,351
Heavy-Duty Vehicles 83.5 81.7 93.3 103 113 128 160 243 367 621 914 1,389 2,230
Mopeds & Motorcycles 2.84 3.98 4.80 5.55 6.35 7.16 7.86 8.80 10.0 10.5 20.5 27.9 30.7
140 171 236 316 425 635 981 1,596 2,759 6,024 10,995 17,246 22,862

Uncertainties

Uncertainty estimates for activity data of mobile sources derive from research project FKZ 360 16 023: “Ermittlung der Unsicherheiten der mit den Modellen TREMOD und TREMOD-MM berechneten Luftschadstoffemissionen des landgebundenen Verkehrs in Deutschland” by (Knörr et al. (2009)) 3).

Uncertainty estimates for emission factors for all 1.A.3.b sub-categories were compiled during the PAREST research project. Here, the final report has not yet been published.

Recalculations

Basically, recalculations result from a) the revision of the National Energy Balance (for most recent years) and b) routine revisions of the underlying TREMOD model (recent years or entire time series, depending on outline of revision).

For more details please refer to the related sub-chapters as linked above.

Planned improvements

Besides the routine revision of the TREMOD model, no specific improvements are planned.


2) AGEB (2025): Working Group on Energy Balances (Arbeitsgemeinschaft Energiebilanzen (Hrsg.), AGEB): Energiebilanz für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland; https://ag-energiebilanzen.de/wp-content/uploads/EBD23e.xlsx, (Aufruf: 04.12.2025), Köln & Berlin, September 2025
3) Knörr et al. (2009): Knörr, W., Heldstab, J., & Kasser, F.: Ermittlung der Unsicherheiten der mit den Modellen TREMOD und TREMOD-MM berechneten Luftschadstoffemissionen des landgebundenen Verkehrs in Deutschland; final report; https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/sites/default/files/medien/461/publikationen/3937.pdf, FKZ 360 16 023, Heidelberg & Zürich, on behalf of the Umweltbundesamt, Dessau-Roßlau, 2009.