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general:adjustments:adjustment_de-a [2021/05/19 08:47] – [REVISION OF ADJUSTMENT PROPOSAL COMPARED TO SUBMISSIONS 2014 to 2019] kotzulla | general:adjustments:adjustment_de-a [2021/05/19 09:27] – kotzulla | ||
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==== ANALYSING THE PROBLEM: THE EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVE BASED ON COPERT ==== | ==== ANALYSING THE PROBLEM: THE EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVE BASED ON COPERT ==== | ||
- | Already in 2011, these effects were demonstrated by Ntziachristos and Papageorgiou (2011) | + | Already in 2011, these effects were demonstrated by Ntziachristos and Papageorgiou (2011). Here, the impacts of changing model versions and activity data in the context of meeting the EU NEC Directive ceiling commitments were examined for four European countries including Germany. Unfortunately, |
The study modeled fuel consumption and NO< | The study modeled fuel consumption and NO< | ||
An additional consideration of changes in AD would lead to 620 kt of NO< | An additional consideration of changes in AD would lead to 620 kt of NO< | ||
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__Table 2: annual NO< | __Table 2: annual NO< | ||
- | | | **2010** | + | | |
- | | Adjustment 2014 (accepted) [(CEIP2014a)], | + | | Adjustment 2014 (accepted) [(CEIP2014a)], |
- | | Adjustment 2015 (accepted) [(CEIP2015a)], | + | | Adjustment 2015 (accepted) [(CEIP2015a)], |
- | | Adjustment 2016 (accepted) [(CEIP2016a)], | + | | Adjustment 2016 (accepted) [(CEIP2016a)], |
- | | Adjustment 2017 (accepted) [(CEIP2017a)] | -151.3 | + | | Adjustment 2017 (accepted) [(CEIP2017a)] |
- | | Adjustment 2018 (accepted) [(CEIP2018a)], | + | | Adjustment 2018 (accepted) [(CEIP2018a)], |
- | | Adjustment 2019 (accepted) [(CEIP2019a)], | + | | Adjustment 2019 (accepted) [(CEIP2019a)], |
- | | Adjustment 2020 (accepted) | -297.8 | + | | Adjustment 2020 (accepted) |
- | | | + | | ||||||||||| |
- | ^ Adjustment 2021 (proposal) | + | ^ Adjustment 2021 (proposal) |
- | | Change against Adjustment 2020 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | -0.4 | -5.9 | -6.6 | -6.2 | -5.0 | | | + | | Change against Adjustment 2020 |
The noticeable differences between the 2017 and 2018 adjustment proposals resulted from an ad-hoc revision of the //Handbook Emission Factors for Road Transport// (HBEFA, version 3.3) in the aftermath of the so-called " | The noticeable differences between the 2017 and 2018 adjustment proposals resulted from an ad-hoc revision of the //Handbook Emission Factors for Road Transport// (HBEFA, version 3.3) in the aftermath of the so-called " | ||
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The even bigger changes between adjustment 2019 and adjustment proposal 2020 result from an additional rather fundamental revision of of the //Handbook Emission Factors for Road Transport// now available in version 4.1 [(NOTTER2019)] strongly effecting the TREMOD model underlying Germany' | The even bigger changes between adjustment 2019 and adjustment proposal 2020 result from an additional rather fundamental revision of of the //Handbook Emission Factors for Road Transport// now available in version 4.1 [(NOTTER2019)] strongly effecting the TREMOD model underlying Germany' | ||
\\ | \\ | ||
- | **In comparison to 2020, the TREMOD model apllied | + | **In comparison to 2020, the TREMOD model applied |
- | + | ||
- | **__Adjustment description as provided in IIRs 2014 and 2015:__** | + | |
- | + | ||
- | [[image Description%20Adjustment%20DE-A%20-%20NOx%20from%201.A.3.b%20Road%20transport%20-%20IIRs%202014%20%26%202015.pdf]] | + | |
- | + | ||
- | ----- | + | |
[(EB2012a> | [(EB2012a> | ||
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[(CEIP2019a > CEIP, 2019a: Centre on Emission Inventories and Projections (CEIP): ECE/ | [(CEIP2019a > CEIP, 2019a: Centre on Emission Inventories and Projections (CEIP): ECE/ | ||
[(CEIP2019b > CEIP, 2019b: https:// | [(CEIP2019b > CEIP, 2019b: https:// | ||
+ | [(CEIP2020 > CEIP, 2020: https:// | ||