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general:projections:recalculations [2023/03/15 10:17] – hausmann | general:projections:recalculations [2024/02/12 09:10] (current) – brauns | ||
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- | <WRAP center round info 60%> | ||
- | Projections have not yet been updated for the 2023 submission. The content below is outdated. | ||
- | </ | ||
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===== Recalculations ===== | ===== Recalculations ===== | ||
- | Due to recalculations | + | Due to recalculations |
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- | The following figures show the differences between submission 2018 and 2020 for past emissions as well as the differences between the emission projections reported in 2019 and the current projections in the WM and the WAM scenario for each pollutant. For each pollutant a breif explanation | + | |
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- | **Nitrogen Oxide (NO< | + | |
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- | For NO< | + | |
- | + | ||
- | {{: | + | |
- | **Sulfur Dioxide | + | The following figures show the differences between inventory submissions 2018, 2020 and 2022 for historic emissions as well as the differences between the WAM emission projections reported in 2019 (consistent with the NAPCP 2019), reported in 2021 and reported in 2023 (consistent with the draft NAPCP 2023) for each pollutant. In addition, for the emission projections 2023 the WM scenario is shown up to the year 2040. For each pollutant a brief explanation of the most relevant reasons for the occurring differences compared to the previous reporting is given. For explanation of the differences between reporting in 2021 and 2019 please see the IIR of the 2021 reporting((https: |
- | The coal phase-out is also the reason for the differences between the two WM scenarios for SO<sub>2</ | + | For NO<sub>X</ |
- | {{: | + | In 2020 a significant drop of mileage, against an increasing long-term trend, especially for passenger cars appeared. In combination with an ongoing decrease in the implied emission factors through regular fleet renewal, an extraordinary decrease in NO< |
- | **Non-Methane Volatile Organic Compounds (NMVOC)** | + | {{: |
- | The current | + | For SO< |
- | {{: | + | {{: |
- | **Ammonia (NH< | + | NMVOC emission projections are strongly influenced by economic projections. Updates on these are therefore causing changes in NMVOC emission projections. However, the latest historic emissions in 2020 are already below the current projections for 2025 to 2040 in the draft NAPCP 2023, which is caused by decreases over all sectors. |
- | The current WM scenario for NH< | + | {{: |
- | {{:general: | + | Submission 2021 contained recalculations of NH< |
- | **Fine Particulate Matter (PM< | + | {{: |
- | For fine PM (PM< | + | Differences in current projections of fine PM emissions |
- | First, | + | First, |
- | {{: | + | {{: |