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general:uncertainty_evaluation:start [2021/01/20 07:51] – Fix links to spreadsheet files hausmann | general:uncertainty_evaluation:start [2023/03/03 07:44] – [NH3] Update to 2021 data hausmann | ||
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+ | ====== Chapter 1.7 - General Uncertainty Evaluation ===== | ||
+ | |||
===== Introduction ===== | ===== Introduction ===== | ||
+ | |||
{{ general: | {{ general: | ||
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Germany currently reports detailed uncertainty information for five pollutants: NO< | Germany currently reports detailed uncertainty information for five pollutants: NO< | ||
- | ^ ^ Base year [kt] ^ 2018 [kt] ^ Trend [%] ^ Method | + | ^ ^ Base year [kt] ^ 2021 [kt] ^ Trend [%] ^ Method |
- | ^ NO< | + | ^ NO< |
- | | |||| MC | -10.09 | +12.36 | -6.88 | | + | | |||| MC | -6.7 | +9.9 | -8.5 |
- | ^ SO< | + | ^ SO< |
- | | |||| MC | | + | | |||| MC | -8.1 | +8.9 | -6.7 |
- | ^ NMVOC | + | ^ NMVOC |
- | | |||| MC | -14.00 | +21.45 | | + | | |||| MC | -9.7 | +15.7 |
- | ^ NH< | + | ^ NH< |
- | | |||| MC | -10.08 | +11.30 | -9.59 | | + | | |||| MC | -9.4 | +9.9 | -9.2 |
- | ^ PM< | + | ^ PM< |
- | | |||| MC | -10.33 | +12.57 | | + | | |||| MC | -8.8 | +10.5 |
===== Uncertainties per pollutant ===== | ===== Uncertainties per pollutant ===== | ||
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{{general: | {{general: | ||
- | Compared to other pollutants, NO< | + | Compared to other pollutants, NO< |
- | Using the MC simulation, the top three contributors to the overall uncertainty are [[sector:energy:fuel_combustion:transport: | + | Using the MC simulation, the top three contributors to the overall uncertainty are [[sector:agriculture:agricultural_soils:start|3.D.a.1 - Inorganic N-fertilizers]], [[sector: |
==== SO2 ==== | ==== SO2 ==== | ||
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{{general: | {{general: | ||
- | SO< | + | SO< |
==== NMVOC ==== | ==== NMVOC ==== | ||
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{{general: | {{general: | ||
- | NMVOC emissions and trends are driven by solvent use. While solvent contents of most products | + | NMVOC emissions and trends are driven by solvent use. While solvent contents of most products |
==== NH3 ==== | ==== NH3 ==== | ||
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{{general: | {{general: | ||
- | Uncertainty in the NH< | + | Uncertainty in the NH< |
==== PM2.5 ==== | ==== PM2.5 ==== | ||
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{{general: | {{general: | ||
- | PM< | + | PM< |
===== Other pollutants ===== | ===== Other pollutants ===== | ||
There is currently no uncertainty assessment for additional air pollutants, heavy metals and POPs. Germany seeks to expand the list of pollutants covered as resources allow. | There is currently no uncertainty assessment for additional air pollutants, heavy metals and POPs. Germany seeks to expand the list of pollutants covered as resources allow. |