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--- sector:energy:fuel_combustion:small_combustion:mobile_small_combustion:agriculture_and_forestry:agriculture [2021/02/15 15:36] – kotzulla
+++ sector:energy:fuel_combustion:small_combustion:mobile_small_combustion:agriculture_and_forestry:agriculture [2024/02/27 12:14] (current) – [Table] kotzulla
@@ Line 14: / Line 14: @@
 ====Activity data====
-Subsector-specific consumption data is included in the primary fuel-delivery data are available from NEB line 67: 'Commercial, trade, services and other consumers' (AGEB, 2019) [((bibcite 1))].
+Subsector-specific consumption data is included in the primary fuel-delivery data are available from NEB line 67: 'Commercial, trade, services and other consumers' (AGEB, 2022) [(AGEB2022)].
 __Table 1: Sources for primary fuel-delivery data__
@@ Line 20: / Line 20: @@
 || as of 1995 || **AGEB** - National Energy Balance, line 67: 'Gewerbe, Handel, Dienstleistungen u. übrige Verbraucher'  ||
-Following the deduction of energy inputs for military vehicles as provided in (BAFA, 2019) [((bibcite 2))], the remaining amounts of gasoline and diesel oil are apportioned onto off-road construction vehicles (NFR 1.A.2.g vii) and off-road vehicles in commercial/institutional use (1.A.4. ii) as well as agriculture and forestry (NFR 1.A.4.c ii) based upon annual shares derived from TREMOD-MM (Knörr et al. (2019b)) (cf. [[[ 1-a-4-mobile-combustion | NFR 1.A.4 - mobile ]]]).
+Following the deduction of energy inputs for military vehicles as provided in (BAFA, 2022) [(BAFA2022)], the remaining amounts of gasoline and diesel oil are apportioned onto off-road construction vehicles (NFR 1.A.2.g vii) and off-road vehicles in commercial/institutional use (1.A.4. ii) as well as agriculture and forestry (NFR 1.A.4.c ii) based upon annual shares derived from TREMOD-MM (Knörr et al. (2022b) [(KNOERR2022b)] (cf. NFR 1.A.4 - mobile).
 __Table 2: Annual contribution of agricultural vehicles and mobile machinery to the primary diesel<sup>1</sup> fuels delivery data provided in NEB line 67__
-|  **1990**  |  **1995**  |  **2000**  |  **2005**  |  **2010**  |  **2011**  |  **2012**  |  **2013**  |  **2014**  |  **2015**  |  **2016**  |  **2017**  |  **2018**  |  **2019**  |
+^  1990  ^  1995  ^  2000  ^  2005  ^  2010  ^  2011  ^  2012  ^  2013  ^  2014  ^  2015  ^  2016  ^  2017  ^  2018  ^  2019  ^  2020  ^  2021  ^
-|      47,6% |      45,6% |      43,9% |      46,2% |      47,5% |      47,2% |      47,3% |      48,0% |      47,8% |      48,3% |      48,5% |      48,5% |      48,4% |      48,4% |
+|  47.5% |  45.6% |  43.8% |  46.2% |  47.4% |  47.2% |  47.2% |  48.0% |  47.8% |  48.2% |  48.4% |  48.5% |  48.4% |  48.4% |  48.2% |  48.6% |
-<sup>1</sup>no gasoline used in agricultural vehicles and mobile machinery
+<sup>1</sup> no gasoline used in agricultural vehicles and mobile machinery
 __Table 3: Annual mobile fuel consumption in agriculture, in terajoules__
-|                       |  **1990**  |  **1995**  |  **2000**  |  **2005**  |  **2010**  |  **2011**  |  **2012**  |  **2013**  |  **2014**  |  **2015**  |  **2016**  |  **2017**  |  **2018**  |  **2019**  |
+|                       ^  1990   ^  1995   ^  2000   ^  2005   ^  2010   ^  2011   ^  2012   ^  2013   ^  2014   ^  2015   ^  2016   ^  2017   ^  2018   ^  2019   ^  2020   ^  2021   ^
-^ Diesel Oil            |     53.263 |     44.622 |     41.696 |     37.942 |     42.024 |     42.864 |     42.137 |     44.531 |     46.259 |     48.905 |     51.027 |     52.561 |     49.009 |     49.591 |
+^ Diesel Oil            |  53,188 |  44,553 |  41,633 |  37,893 |  41,973 |  42,813 |  42,087 |  44,479 |  46,205 |  48,848 |  50,968 |  52,500 |  48,950 |  49,622 |  50,901 |  51,619 |
-^ Biodiesel             |          0 |          0 |          0 |      2.424 |      3.222 |      2.991 |      2.974 |      2.641 |      2.843 |      2.675 |      2.705 |      2.806 |      2.849 |      2.824 |
+^ Biodiesel             |       0 |       0 |       0 |   2,421 |   3,218 |   2,987 |   2,970 |   2,638 |   2,839 |   2,672 |   2,702 |   2,803 |   2,846 |   2,826 |   4,228 |   3,586 |
-| **Ʃ 1.A.4.c ii (i)** ^     53.263 ^     44.622 ^     41.696 ^     40.366 ^     45.246 ^     45.855 ^     45.111 ^     47.172 ^     49.102 ^     51.580 ^     53.732 ^     55.367 ^     51.858 ^     52.415 ^
+| **Ʃ 1.A.4.c ii (i)**  ^  53,188 ^  44,553 ^  41,633 ^  40,315 ^  45,191 ^  45,800 ^  45,057 ^  47,117 ^  49,045 ^  51,520 ^  53,670 ^  55,302 ^  51,795 ^  52,448 ^  55,129 ^  55,205 ^
 ==== Emission factors ====
 The emission factors applied here are of rather different quality:
-For all **main pollutants**, **carbon monoxide** and **particulate matter**, annual IEF modelled within TREMOD MM [((bibcite 3))] are used, representing the sector's vehicle-fleet composition, the development of mitigation technologies and the effect of fuel-quality legislation.
+For all **main pollutants**, **carbon monoxide** and **particulate matter**, annual IEF modelled within TREMOD MM are used, representing the sector's vehicle-fleet composition, the development of mitigation technologies and the effect of fuel-quality legislation.
-__Table 3: Annual country-specific emission factors<sup>1</sup>, in kg/TJ__
+__Table 4: Annual country-specific emission factors<sup>1</sup>, in kg/TJ__
-|                 |  **1990**  |  **1995**  |  **2000**  |  **2005**  |  **2010**  |  **2011**  |  **2012**  |  **2013**  |  **2014**  |  **2015**  |  **2016**  |  **2017**  |  **2018**  | **2019**  |
+|                 ^  1990  ^  1995  ^  2000  ^  2005  ^  2010  ^  2011  ^  2012  ^  2013  ^  2014  ^  2015  ^  2016  ^  2017  ^  2018  ^  2019  ^  2020  ^  2021  ^
-^ NH<sub>3</sub>  |      0,153 |      0,156 |      0,159 |      0,162 |      0,163 |      0,164 |      0,164 |      0,164 |      0,164 |      0,164 |      0,164 |      0,164 |      0,165 |     0,165 |
+^ NH<sub>3</sub>  |   0.15 |   0.16 |   0.16 |   0.16 |   0.16 |   0.16 |   0.16 |   0.16 |   0.16 |   0.16 |   0.16 |   0.16 |   0.16 |   0.16 |   0.16 |   0.16 |
-^ NMVOC           |        258 |        232 |        205 |        165 |        124 |        118 |        112 |        106 |        100 |       93,8 |       88,6 |       83,8 |       79,1 |      74,8 |
+^ NMVOC           |    258 |    231 |    205 |    165 |    124 |    118 |    112 |    106 |   99.7 |   93.8 |   88.6 |   83.8 |   79.1 |   74.8 |   70.6 |   66.4 |
-^ NO<sub>x</sub>  |        874 |        886 |        916 |        832 |        682 |        655 |        629 |        605 |        581 |        560 |        541 |        523 |        506 |       490 |
+^ NO<sub>x</sub>  |    873 |    886 |    916 |    832 |    682 |    655 |    629 |    605 |    581 |    560 |    541 |    522 |    505 |    489 |    471 |    451 |
-^ SO<sub>x</sub>  |       79,6 |       60,5 |       14,0 |       0,37 |       0,37 |       0,37 |       0,37 |       0,37 |       0,37 |       0,37 |       0,37 |       0,37 |       0,37 |      0,37 |
+^ SO<sub>x</sub>  |   79.6 |   60.5 |   14.0 |   0.37 |   0.37 |   0.37 |   0.37 |   0.37 |   0.37 |   0.37 |   0.37 |   0.37 |   0.37 |   0.37 |   0.37 |   0.37 |
-^ BC<sup>3</sup>  |      125,1 |      109,4 |       93,1 |       74,7 |       57,4 |       54,8 |       52,4 |       50,1 |       47,4 |       44,8 |       42,2 |       39,8 |       37,5 |      35,3 |
+^ PM<sup>2</sup>  |    125 |    109 |   93.1 |   74.7 |   57.4 |   54.8 |   52.4 |   50.1 |   47.5 |   44.8 |   42.3 |   39.8 |   37.5 |   35.4 |   33.2 |   30.9 |
-^ PM<sup>2</sup>  |        229 |        201 |        171 |        134 |       97,1 |       91,5 |       86,2 |       81,5 |       76,3 |       71,4 |       66,9 |       62,7 |       58,6 |      54,9 |
+^ BC<sup>3</sup>  |    229 |    201 |    171 |    134 |   97.1 |   91.5 |   86.3 |   81.5 |   76.4 |   71.5 |   66.9 |   62.7 |   58.6 |   54.9 |   51.3 |   47.6 |
-^ CO              |        882 |        834 |        779 |        674 |        555 |        536 |        518 |        502 |        484 |        468 |        453 |        441 |        428 |       416 |
+^ CO              |    882 |    834 |    779 |    674 |    555 |    536 |    518 |    500 |    479 |    459 |    441 |    424 |    407 |    391 |    375 |    359 |
 <sup>1</sup> due to lack of better information: similar EF are applied for fossil and biofuels \\
 <sup>2</sup> EF(PM<sub>2.5</sub>) also applied for PM<sub>10</sub> and TSP (assumption: > 99% of TSP consists of PM<sub>2.5</sub>)\\
-<sup>3</sup> estimated via a f-BCs as provided in [((bibcite 3))], Chapter 1.A.2.g vii, 1.A.4.a ii, b ii, c ii, 1.A.5.b i - Non-road, note to Table 3-1: Tier 1 emission factors for off-road machinery \\
+<sup>3</sup> estimated via a f-BCs as provided in [(EMEPEEA2019)], Chapter 1.A.2.g vii, 1.A.4.a ii, b ii, c ii, 1.A.5.b i - Non-road, note to Table 3-1: Tier 1 emission factors for off-road machinery \\
-> **NOTE:** With respect to the country-specific emission factors applied for particulate matter, given the circumstances during test-bench measurements, condensables are most likely included at least partly.[[footnote]] During test-bench measurements, temperatures are likely to be significantly higher than under real-world conditions, thus reducing condensation. On the contrary, smaller dillution (higher number of primary particles acting as condensation germs) together with higher pressures increase the likeliness of condensation. So over-all condensables are very likely to occur but different to real-world conditions. [[/footnote]]
+> **NOTE:** With respect to the country-specific emission factors applied for particulate matter, given the circumstances during test-bench measurements, condensables are most likely included at least partly. During test-bench measurements, temperatures are likely to be significantly higher than under real-world conditions, thus reducing condensation. On the contrary, smaller dillution (higher number of primary particles acting as condensation germs) together with higher pressures increase the likeliness of condensation. So over-all condensables are very likely to occur but different to real-world conditions.
-> For information on the **emission factors for heavy-metal and POP exhaust emissions**, please refer to [[[ appendix2.3-HM-from-mobile-sources | Appendix 2.3 - Heavy Metal (HM) exhaust emissions from mobile sources]]] and [[[ appendix2.4-POPs-from-mobile-sources | Appendix 2.4 - Persistent Organic Pollutant (POP) exhaust emissions from mobile sources ]]].
+> For information on the **emission factors for heavy-metal and POP exhaust emissions**, please refer to Appendix 2.3 - Heavy Metal (HM) exhaust emissions from mobile sources and Appendix 2.4 - Persistent Organic Pollutant (POP) exhaust emissions from mobile sources.
 ===== Recalculations =====
-Revisions in **activity data** result from slightly adapted EBZ67 shares as well as the implementation of primary activity data from the now finalised NEB 2019.
+Revisions in **activity data** result from slightly revised annual shares adapted EBZ 67 shares as well as the implementation of primary activity data from the now finalised NEB 2020.
-__Table 5: Revised annual contribution of 1.A.2.g vii to fuel-specific over-all fuel deliveries provided in NEB line 67__
+__Table 5: Revised annual shares of NEB line 67, in %__
-|                   |  **1990**  |  **1995**  |  **2000**  | **2005**  | **2010**  | **2011**  |  **2012**  |  **2013**  | **2014**  | **2015**  |  **2016**  |  **2017**  |  **2018**  |
+|                      ^  1990   ^  1995   ^  2000   ^  2005   ^  2010   ^  2011   ^  2012   ^  2013   ^  2014   ^  2015   ^  2016   ^  2017   ^  2018   ^  2019   ^  2020   ^
-| **diesel fuels**                                                                                                                                                         ||||||||||||||
+^ current submission   |   0,475 |   0,456 |   0,438 |   0,462 |   0,474 |   0,472 |   0,472 |   0,480 |   0,478 |   0,482 |   0,484 |   0,485 |   0,484 |   0,484 |   0,482 |
-^ Submission 2021   |      0,476 |      0,456 |      0,439 |     0,462 |     0,475 |     0,472 |      0,473 |      0,480 |     0,478 |     0,483 |      0,485 |      0,485 |      0,484 |
+^ previous submission  |   0,476 |   0,456 |   0,439 |   0,462 |   0,475 |   0,472 |   0,473 |   0,480 |   0,478 |   0,483 |   0,485 |   0,485 |   0,484 |   0,484 |   0,483 |
-^ Submission 2020   |      0,484 |      0,467 |      0,468 |     0,501 |     0,509 |     0,506 |      0,506 |      0,505 |     0,503 |     0,507 |      0,510 |      0,511 |      0,512 |
+^ absolute change      |  -0,001 |  -0,001 |  -0,001 |  -0,001 |  -0,001 |  -0,001 |  -0,001 |  -0,001 |  -0,001 |  -0,001 |  -0,001 |  -0,001 |  -0,001 |  -0,001 |  -0,001 |
-^ absolute change   |     -0,008 |     -0,011 |     -0,030 |    -0,038 |    -0,034 |    -0,034 |     -0,033 |     -0,024 |    -0,025 |    -0,025 |     -0,025 |     -0,025 |     -0,028 |
+^ relative change      |  -0,14% |  -0,15% |  -0,15% |  -0,13% |  -0,12% |  -0,12% |  -0,12% |  -0,12% |  -0,12% |  -0,12% |  -0,12% |  -0,12% |   -0,1% |  -0,12% |   -0,1% |
-^ relative change   |     -1,62% |     -2,30% |     -6,33% |    -7,66% |    -6,75% |    -6,65% |     -6,47% |     -4,80% |    -4,98% |    -4,87% |     -5,00% |     -4,97% |     -5,52% |
-__Table 6: Resulting revised activity data, in terajoules__
+__Table 6: Revised activity data, in terajoules__
-|                                |  **1990**  |  **1995**  |  **2000**  | **2005**  | **2010**  | **2011**  |  **2012**  |  **2013**  | **2014**  | **2015**  |  **2016**  |  **2017**  |  **2018**  |
+|                      ^  1990   ^  1995   ^  2000   ^  2005   ^  2010   ^  2011   ^  2012   ^  2013   ^  2014   ^  2015   ^  2016   ^  2017   ^  2018   ^  2019   ^  2020   ^
-^ Submission 2021                |     48.078 |     45.337 |     44.668 |    38.177 |    41.085 |    42.145 |     41.684 |     42.460 |    44.710 |    46.075 |     47.682 |     48.977 |     45.594 |
+^ current submission   |  53,188 |  44,553 |  41,633 |  40,315 |  45,191 |  45,800 |  45,057 |  47,117 |  49,045 |  51,520 |  53,670 |  55,302 |  51,795 |  52,448 |  55,129 |
-^ Submission 2020                |     47.301 |     44.401 |     42.286 |    33.615 |    37.154 |    38.387 |     37.932 |     39.357 |    41.335 |    42.516 |     44.012 |     45.175 |     41.976 |
+^ previous submission  |  53,263 |  44,622 |  41,696 |  40,366 |  45,246 |  45,855 |  45,111 |  47,172 |  49,102 |  51,580 |  53,732 |  55,367 |  51,855 |  52,509 |  54,641 |
-^ absolute change                |        776 |        937 |      2.382 |     4.562 |     3.931 |     3.758 |      3.752 |      3.104 |     3.375 |     3.559 |      3.670 |      3.802 |      3.618 |
+^ absolute change      |   -75.7 |   -68.7 |   -63.4 |   -51.4 |   -54.6 |   -54.8 |   -53.6 |   -54.7 |   -56.7 |   -59.9 |   -62.4 |   -64.3 |   -59.9 |   -60.6 |     488 |
-^ relative change                |      1,64% |      2,11% |      5,63% |    13,57% |    10,58% |     9,79% |      9,89% |      7,89% |     8,16% |     8,37% |      8,34% |      8,42% |      8,62% |
+^ relative change      |  -0.14% |  -0.15% |  -0.15% |   -0.1% |   -0.1% |  -0.12% |  -0.12% |  -0.12% |  -0.12% |  -0.12% |  -0.12% |  -0.12% |  -0.12% |  -0.12% |   0.89% |
+<WRAP center round info 60%>
+For **pollutant-specific information on recalculated emission estimates reported for Base Year and 2020**, please see the recalculation tables following chapter [[general:recalculations:start| 8.1 - Recalculations]].
+</WRAP>
-As, in contrast, all **emission factors** remain unrevised compared to last year's susbmission, emission estimates for the years as of 2015 change in accordance with the underlying activity data.
+===== Planned improvements =====
+Besides a routine revision of the underlying model, no specific improvements are planned.
-> For **information on the impacts on emission estimates for Base Year and 2017**, please see the pollutant specific recalculation tables following chapter [[[recalculations | 8.1 - Recalculations]]].
+[(AGEB2022>AGEB, 2022: Working Group on Energy Balances (Arbeitsgemeinschaft Energiebilanzen (Hrsg.), AGEB): Energiebilanz für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland; https://ag-energiebilanzen.de/daten-und-fakten/bilanzen-1990-bis-2020/?wpv-jahresbereich-bilanz=2011-2020, (Aufruf: 23.11.2021), Köln & Berlin, 2022)]
+[(BAFA2022>BAFA, 2022: Federal Office of Economics and Export Control (Bundesamt für Wirtschaft und Ausfuhrkontrolle, BAFA): Amtliche Mineralöldaten für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland;
-------
+https://www.bafa.de/SharedDocs/Downloads/DE/Energie/Mineraloel/moel_amtliche_daten_2021_12.xlsx;jsessionid=80E1FD32B36918F682608C03FDE79257.1_cid381?__blob=publicationFile&v=5, Eschborn, 2022.)]
+[(KNOERR2022b>Knörr et al. (2022b): Knörr, W., Heidt, C., Gores, S., & Bergk, F.: ifeu Institute for Energy and Environmental Research (Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg gGmbH, ifeu): Aktualisierung des Modells TREMOD-Mobile Machinery (TREMOD MM) 2022, Heidelberg, 2022.)]
-[[bibliography]]
+[(EMEPEEA2019> EMEP/EEA, 2019: EMEP/EEA air pollutant emission inventory guidebook – 2019, Copenhagen, 2019.)]
-: 1 : AGEB, 2019: Working Group on Energy Balances (Arbeitsgemeinschaft Energiebilanzen (Hrsg.), AGEB): Energiebilanz für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland; URL: https://ag-energiebilanzen.de/7-0-Bilanzen-1990-2017.html, (Aufruf: 29.11.2019), Köln & Berlin, 2019.
+[(KNOERR2009> Knörr et al. (2009): Knörr, W., Heldstab, J., & Kasser, F.: Ermittlung der Unsicherheiten der mit den Modellen TREMOD und TREMOD-MM berechneten Luftschadstoffemissionen des landgebundenen Verkehrs in Deutschland; final report; URL: https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/sites/default/files/medien/461/publikationen/3937.pdf, FKZ 360 16 023, Heidelberg & Zürich, 2009.)]
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