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general:adjustments:adjustment_de-a [2021/05/19 09:14] – [REVISION OF ADJUSTMENT PROPOSAL COMPARED TO SUBMISSIONS 2014 to 2019] kotzullageneral:adjustments:adjustment_de-a [2021/12/15 20:00] (current) – external edit 127.0.0.1
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 In other words, the exceeding of NO<sub>x</sub> ceilings for road transport is due to: In other words, the exceeding of NO<sub>x</sub> ceilings for road transport is due to:
  
-**Changes in methodology and emission factors**+=== Changes in methodology and emission factors ===
  
 As these technologically driven changes (as reflected in the __evolution of the different so-called Euro norms__) lie outside the country's responsibility, current methodology and EFs have to be adjusted in a way to allow the comparison of the actual inventory and the Gothenburg ceilings. As these technologically driven changes (as reflected in the __evolution of the different so-called Euro norms__) lie outside the country's responsibility, current methodology and EFs have to be adjusted in a way to allow the comparison of the actual inventory and the Gothenburg ceilings.
  
-**Changes in the activity data**+=== Changes in the activity data==
  
 As the development of mileage driven and fuels used within a country (__Germany: stronger dieselisation__ then originally expected) is of the country's responsibility, this effect has to be excluded from any adjustment estimation. As the development of mileage driven and fuels used within a country (__Germany: stronger dieselisation__ then originally expected) is of the country's responsibility, this effect has to be excluded from any adjustment estimation.
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 with  with 
-  * **//EM// ,,adjustment,,** = amount of emissions to be subtracted from National Totals +  * **//EM//<sub>adjustment</sub>** = amount of emissions to be subtracted from National Totals 
-  * **//AD// ,,current,,** = AD from latest TREMOD version as used for current submission +  * **//AD//<sub>current</sub>** = AD from latest TREMOD version as used for current submission 
-  * **//EF// ,,current,,** = EF from latest TREMOD version as used for current submission +  * **//EF//<sub>current</sub>** = EF from latest TREMOD version as used for current submission 
-  * **//EF// ,,original,,** = EF from TREMOD version used at the time NEC ceilings were set (here: TREMOD 3.1) +  * **//EF//<sub>original</sub>** = EF from TREMOD version used at the time NEC ceilings were set (here: TREMOD 3.1) 
-  * **//EM// ,,current,,** = EM estimated from AD and EF from latest TREMOD version = EM reported for NFR 1.A.3.b with latest submission +  * **//EM//<sub>current</sub>** = EM estimated from AD and EF from latest TREMOD version = EM reported for NFR 1.A.3.b with latest submission 
-  * **//EM// ,,current-"artificial",,** = EM estimated from AD from latest TREMOD version and EF from TREMOD version used at the time NEC ceilings were set (here: TREMOD 3.1)+  * **//EM//<sub>curent "artificial"</sub>** = EM estimated from AD from latest TREMOD version and EF from TREMOD version used at the time NEC ceilings were set (here: TREMOD 3.1)
  
 === APPLYING THE ORIGINAL METHODOLOGY === === APPLYING THE ORIGINAL METHODOLOGY ===
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 __Table 2: annual NO<sub>x</sub> adjustment proposals, in kilotonnes__ __Table 2: annual NO<sub>x</sub> adjustment proposals, in kilotonnes__
-|                                  |  **2010**  |  **2011**  |  **2012**  |  **2013**  |  **2014**  |  **2015**  |  **2016**  |  **2017**  |  **2018**  | **2019**  | +|                                                         |  **2010**  |  **2011**  |  **2012**  |  **2013**  |  **2014**  |  **2015**  |  **2016**  |  **2017**  |  **2018**  | **2019**  | 
-| Adjustment 2014 (accepted) [(CEIP2014a)],[(CEIP2014b)] |  -105.6    |  -101.3    |  -95.7     |  -91.7     ^            ^            ^            ^            ^            ^           ^ +| Adjustment 2014 (accepted) [(CEIP2014a)],[(CEIP2014b)]  |  -105.6    |  -101.3    |  -95.7     |  -91.7     ^            ^            ^            ^            ^            ^           ^ 
-| Adjustment 2015 (accepted) [(CEIP2015a)],[(CEIP2015b)] |  -100.3    |  -95.5     |  -89.9     |  -85.1     ^            ^            ^            ^            ^            ^           ^ +| Adjustment 2015 (accepted) [(CEIP2015a)],[(CEIP2015b)]  |  -100.3    |  -95.5     |  -89.9     |  -85.1     ^            ^            ^            ^            ^            ^           ^ 
-| Adjustment 2016 (accepted) [(CEIP2016a)],[(CEIP2016b)] |  -151.3    |  -146.9    |  -145.1    |  -142.5    |  -128.1    ^            ^            ^            ^            ^           ^ +| Adjustment 2016 (accepted) [(CEIP2016a)],[(CEIP2016b)]  |  -151.3    |  -146.9    |  -145.1    |  -142.5    |  -128.1    ^            ^            ^            ^            ^           ^ 
-| Adjustment 2017 (accepted) [(CEIP2017a)] |  -151.3    |  -146.8    |  -145.0    |  -142.4    |  -127.2    |  -100.9    ^            ^            ^            ^           ^ +| Adjustment 2017 (accepted) [(CEIP2017a)]                |  -151.3    |  -146.8    |  -145.0    |  -142.4    |  -127.2    |  -100.9    ^            ^            ^            ^           ^ 
-| Adjustment 2018 (accepted) [(CEIP2018a)],[(CEIP2018b)] |  -172.3    |  -174.5    |  -177.4    |  -180.4    |  -171.5    |  -148.9    |  -123.2    ^            ^            ^           ^ +| Adjustment 2018 (accepted) [(CEIP2018a)],[(CEIP2018b)]  |  -172.3    |  -174.5    |  -177.4    |  -180.4    |  -171.5    |  -148.9    |  -123.2    ^            ^            ^           ^ 
-| Adjustment 2019 (accepted) [(CEIP2019a)],[(CEIP2019b)] |  -172.3    |  -174.5    |  -177.4    |  -180.3    |  -171.4    |  -148.8    |  -123.3    |  93.7      ^            ^           ^ +| Adjustment 2019 (accepted) [(CEIP2019a)],[(CEIP2019b)]  |  -172.3    |  -174.5    |  -177.4    |  -180.3    |  -171.4    |  -148.8    |  -123.3    |  -93.7     ^            ^           ^ 
-| Adjustment 2020 (accepted) [(CEIP2020)] |  -297.8    |  -302.3    |  -301.3    |  -306.1    |  -294.5    |  -269.0    |  -244.3    |  -214.9    |  -174.6    ^           ^ +| Adjustment 2020 (accepted) [(CEIP2020)]                 |  -297.8    |  -302.3    |  -301.3    |  -306.1    |  -294.5    |  -269.0    |  -244.3    |  -214.9    |  -174.6    ^           ^ 
-|                                                                                                                                                         ||||||||||| +|                                                                                                                                                                                ||||||||||| 
-^  Adjustment 2021 (proposal)      ^     -296.1 ^     -300.7 ^     -300.4 ^     -305.2 ^     -294.9 ^     -274.9 ^     -250.9 ^     -221.1 ^     -179.6 ^    -144.8 ^ +^  Adjustment 2021 (proposal)                             ^     -296.1 ^     -300.7 ^     -300.4 ^     -305.2 ^     -294.9 ^     -274.9 ^     -250.9 ^     -221.1 ^     -179.6 ^    -144.8 ^ 
-|  Change against Adjustment 2020  |        1.7 |        1.6 |        0.9 |        0.9 |       -0.4 |       -5.9 |       -6.6 |       -6.2 |       -5.0 |           |+|  Change against Adjustment 2020                         |        1.7 |        1.6 |        0.9 |        0.9 |       -0.4 |       -5.9 |       -6.6 |       -6.2 |       -5.0 |           |
  
 The noticeable differences between the 2017 and 2018 adjustment proposals resulted from an ad-hoc revision of the //Handbook Emission Factors for Road Transport// (HBEFA, version 3.3) in the aftermath of the so-called "Diesel-gate". [(KELLER2017)] The noticeable differences between the 2017 and 2018 adjustment proposals resulted from an ad-hoc revision of the //Handbook Emission Factors for Road Transport// (HBEFA, version 3.3) in the aftermath of the so-called "Diesel-gate". [(KELLER2017)]
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 **In comparison to 2020, the TREMOD model applied for the 2021 submission has been revised only slightly in terms of NO<sub>x</sub> emission factors, taking into account results from ongoing measurement campaigns especially for EURO 6 vehicles. Hence, the 2021 adjustment proposal differs onyl slightly from the (accepted) proposal provided with submission 2020.** **In comparison to 2020, the TREMOD model applied for the 2021 submission has been revised only slightly in terms of NO<sub>x</sub> emission factors, taking into account results from ongoing measurement campaigns especially for EURO 6 vehicles. Hence, the 2021 adjustment proposal differs onyl slightly from the (accepted) proposal provided with submission 2020.**
- 
-**__Adjustment description as provided in IIRs 2014 and 2015:__** 
- 
-[[image Description%20Adjustment%20DE-A%20-%20NOx%20from%201.A.3.b%20Road%20transport%20-%20IIRs%202014%20%26%202015.pdf]] 
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 [(EB2012a> EB, 2012a: CLRTAP EB Decision 2012/3, ECE/EB.AIR/111/Add.1: Adjustments under the Gothenburg Protocol to emission reduction commitments or to inventories for the purposes of comparing total national emissions with them [(EB2012a> EB, 2012a: CLRTAP EB Decision 2012/3, ECE/EB.AIR/111/Add.1: Adjustments under the Gothenburg Protocol to emission reduction commitments or to inventories for the purposes of comparing total national emissions with them