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1.A.4.c ii - Agriculture/Forestry/Fishing: Off-Road Vehicles and Other Machinery

Short description

Under sub-category 1.A.4.c ii - Agriculture/Forestry/Fishing: Off-road Vehicles and other Machinery fuel combustion activities and resulting emissions from off-road vehicles and machinery used in agriculture and forestry are reported seperately.

NFR Code Source category Method AD EF Key Category Analysis
1.A.4.c ii Agriculture/Forestry/Fishing: Off-Road Vehicles and Other Machinery T1, T2 NS, M CS, D, M L & T: BC, PM2.5, PM10 / L: NOx,
including mobile sources sub-categories
1.A.4.c ii (a) Off-road Vehicles and Other Machinery: Agriculture T1, T2 NS, M CS, D, M -
1.A.4.c ii (b) Off-road Vehicles and Other Machinery: Forestry T1, T2 NS, M CS, D, M -

Methodology

Activity data

Sector-specific consumption data is included in the primary fuel-delivery data are available from NEB line 67: 'Commercial, trade, services and other consumers' (AGEB, 2022) 1).

Table 1: Sources for primary fuel-delivery data

through 1994 AGEB - National Energy Balance, line 79: 'Haushalte und Kleinverbraucher insgesamt'
as of 1995 AGEB - National Energy Balance, line 67: 'Gewerbe, Handel, Dienstleistungen u. übrige Verbraucher'

Following the deduction of energy inputs for military vehicles as provided in (BAFA, 2022) 2), the remaining amounts of gasoline and diesel oil are apportioned onto off-road construction vehicles (NFR 1.A.2.g vii) and commercial/institutional used off-road vehicles (1.A.4.a ii) as well as agriculture and forestry (NFR 1.A.4.c ii) based upon annual shares derived from TREMOD MM (Knörr et al. (2022b)) 3) (cf. superordinate chapter).

To provide more specific information on mobile sources in agriculture and forestry, the inventory compiler further devides NFR sector 1.A.4.c ii into 1.A.4.c ii (i) - NRMM in agriculture in and 1.A.4.c ii (ii) - NRMM in forestry.

Table 2: Annual percentual contribution of NFR 1.A.4.c ii to the primary fuel delivery data provided in NEB line 67

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
DIESEL FUELS
1.A.4.c ii (i) 61.5% 76.4% 78.5% 79.6% 71.9% 66.2% 65.2% 64.7% 66.9% 65.5% 65.1% 65.3% 68.8%
1.A.4.c ii (ii) 1.95% 0.63% 0.87% 1.13% 1.55% 1.85% 1.80% 1.87% 2.10% 2.34% 2.74% 2.82% 2.49%
GASOLINE FUELS1
1.A.4.c ii (ii) 68.5% 40.3% 44.9% 41.4% 35.5% 33.3% 31.6% 31.9% 35.8% 36.8% 40.3% 40.8% 40.4%

source: own estimations based on Knörr et al. (2022b) 4) 1 no gasoline used in agriculatural vehicles and mobile machinery

Table 3: Annual mobile fuel consumption in agriculture and forestry, in terajoules

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Diesel oil 71,042 75,327 75,451 66,242 65,143 70,282 70,480 70,888 71,227 71,802 70,812 72,382 73,091
Biodiesel 6,186 6,009 6,648 6,058 7,201 5,943 5,449 5,373 6,083 6,444 7,035 7,268 7,132
Gasoline 4,405 5,095 3,904 3,820 3,864 4,019 4,073 5,792 5,076 5,079
Biogasoline 42.0 122 241 222 217 263 266 315 342 331
Ʃ 1.A.4.c ii 77,228 81,336 82,100 76,747 77,561 80,370 79,972 80,343 81,592 82,585 83,955 85,068 85,632

Annual energy input

Emission factors

The emission factors applied here are of rather different quality:

Basically, for all main pollutants, carbon monoxide and particulate matter, annual IEF modelled within TREMOD MM are used, representing the sector's vehicle-fleet composition, the development of mitigation technologies and the effect of fuel-quality legislation.

For Information on the country-specific implied emission factors applied to mobile machinery in agriculture and forestry, please refer to the respective sub-chapters linked above.

For information on the emission factors for heavy-metal and POP exhaust emissions, please refer to Appendix 2.3 - Heavy Metal (HM) exhaust emissions from mobile sources and Appendix 2.4 - Persistent Organic Pollutant (POP) exhaust emissions from mobile sources.

Table: Outcome of Key Catgegory Analysis

for: NOx PM2.5 PM10 BC
by: Level L L Level & Trend
NFR 1.A.4.c ii is key source for emissions of NOx, BC, PM2.5 and PM10.

Unregulated pollutants (Ammonia, HMs, POPs, ...)

For all unregulated pollutants, emission trends directly follow the trend in fuel consumption.

Annual ammonia emissions

Here, exemplary for cadmium, the extreme steps in emission estimates result from two effects:

(i) the annual amounts of gasoline fuels allocated to NFR 1.A.4.c ii depend on the amounts delivered to the military also covered in NEB line 67. (see superordinate chapter for further information). This approach results in strong declines in gasoline consumption after 2007 and 2011 followed by an increase after 2014. In addition, in contrast to the main pollutants, all heavy-metal and POP emissions are calculated based on default EF from 5).

 Annual NMVOVC emissions

Table 4: Development of gasoline consumption in NFR 1.A.4.c ii, in terajoules

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Gasoline 1.543 1.404 392 383 412 1.660 1.575 1.588 1.741 1.739
Biogasoline 60 58 17 16 18 72 68 67 78 75

(ii) All gasoline fuels allocated to NFR 1.A.4.c ii are used in 2-stroke-engines in forestry equipment. As the 2-stroke fuel also includes lubricant oil, the fuel's heavy metal content is significantly higher than that of 4-stroke gasoline (or diesel fuels). (see Appendix 2.3 for more information on the reporting of HM emissions.)

Table 5: Tier1 default emission factors applied to NRMM, in g/TJ

Pb Cd Hg As Cr Cu Ni Se Zn
Diesel oil 0.012 0.001 0.123 0.002 0.198 0.133 0.005 0.002 0.419
Biodiesel1 0.013 0.001 0.142 0.003 0.228 0.153 0.005 0.003 0.483
Gasoline fuels - 4-stroke 0.037 0.005 0.200 0.007 0.145 0.103 0.053 0.005 0.758
Gasoline fuels - 2-stroke2 0.051 2.10 0.196 0.007 8.96 357 14.7 2.09 208
LPG (1.A.4.a ii only) NE

1 values differ from EFs applied for fossil diesel oil to take into account the specific NCV of biodiesel 2 including the HM of 1:50 lube oil mixed to the gasoline Hence, emission estimates reported for cadmium are significantly higher for years with higher gasoline use (in 2-stroke enignes).

Regulated pollutants

For all regulated pollutants, emission trends follow not only the trend in fuel consumption but also reflect the impact of fuel-quality and exhaust-emission legislation.

 Annual nitrogen oxides emissions

Here, emissions of sulphur oxides follow the step-by-step reduction of sulphur contents in liquid fuels, resulting in a reduction of over 99% since 1990:

 Annual sulphur oxides emissions

Particulate matter & Black carbon

Over-all PM emissions are by far dominated by emissions from diesel oil combustion with the falling trend basically following the decline in fuel consumption between 2000 and 2005. Nonetheless, the decrease of the over-all emission trend was and still is amplified by the expanding use of particle filters especially to eliminate soot emissions.

Additional contributors such as the impact of TSP emissions from the use of leaded gasoline (until 1997) have no significant effect onto over-all emission estimates.

 Annual particulate matter emissions

Recalculations

Compared to previous submissions, activity data has been recalculated for all years.

Here, as fuel consumpion in agricultural vehicles was underestimated in former years*, the methodolgy for deriving the respective consumption data was revised in a way that now the estimates show a very good correlation to the annual amounts of agricultural diesel as recorded in official tax statistics.

As the consumption data for agricultural vehicles is estimated as part of the over-all amounts provided in row 67 of the National Energy Balance via percental shares, these shares have been revised as follows:

Table 6: Revision of annual percental shares of fuels consumed in both agriculture and forestry

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
DIESEL FUELS: AGRICULTURE
current submission 0.615 0.764 0.785 0.796 0.719 0.662 0.652 0.647 0.669 0.655 0.651 0.653
previous submission 0.475 0.456 0.438 0.462 0.474 0.482 0.484 0.485 0.484 0.484 0.482 0.486
absolute change 0.140 0.308 0.347 0.334 0.244 0.180 0.168 0.162 0.186 0.172 0.169 0.167
relative change 29.5% 67.7% 79.2% 72.4% 51.6% 37.2% 34.7% 33.5% 38.4% 35.5% 35.0% 34.4%
DIESEL FUELS: FORESTRY
current submission 0.019 0.006 0.009 0.011 0.016 0.019 0.018 0.019 0.021 0.023 0.027 0.028
previous submission 0.024 0.014 0.022 0.029 0.029 0.029 0.027 0.028 0.033 0.035 0.042 0.043
absolute change -0.005 -0.007 -0.013 -0.018 -0.014 -0.010 -0.009 -0.009 -0.012 -0.012 -0.014 -0.014
relative change -19.0% -53.4% -59.4% -60.9% -46.8% -35.9% -33.9% -32.9% -37.2% -33.9% -33.9% -33.8%

Resulting from the revised annual shares, activity data have been re-calculated accordingly:

Table 7: Revision of annual activity data, in terajoules

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
DIESEL FUELS
current submission 71,042 75,327 75,451 70,647 70,238 74,186 74,300 74,753 75,246 75,875 76,604 77,458
previous submission 55,882 45,884 43,681 42,831 47,968 54,608 56,683 58,484 55,381 56,282 59,872 60,041
absolute change 15,161 29,443 31,771 27,817 22,270 19,578 17,618 16,269 19,865 19,593 16,732 17,417
relative change 27.1% 64.2% 72.7% 64.9% 46.4% 35.9% 31.1% 27.8% 35.9% 34.8% 27.9% 29.0%
GASOLINE FUELS
current submission 6,186 6,009 6,648 6,100 7,322 6,184 5,671 5,591 6,346 6,710 7,351 7,610
previous submission 3,093 3,005 3,324 3,050 1,628 1,751 1,660 1,668 1,875 1,781 2,802 2,892
absolute change 3,093 3,005 3,324 3,050 5,694 4,433 4,012 3,923 4,471 4,929 4,549 4,718
relative change 100% 100% 100% 100% 350% 253% 242% 235% 238% 277% 162% 163%
OVER-ALL FUEL CONSUMPTION
current submission 77,228 81,336 82,100 76,747 77,561 80,370 79,972 80,343 81,592 82,585 83,955 85,068
previous submission 58,974 48,888 47,005 45,880 49,597 56,359 58,342 60,152 57,256 58,062 62,674 62,933
absolute change 18,254 32,448 35,095 30,867 27,964 24,011 21,629 20,192 24,336 24,523 21,281 22,135
relative change 31.0% 66.4% 74.7% 67.3% 56.4% 42.6% 37.1% 33.6% 42.5% 42.2% 34.0% 35.2%

For information on revised emission factors please refer to the sub-chapters on mobile sources in agriculture and forestry as linked above.

For pollutant-specific information on recalculated emission estimates for Base Year and 2021, please see the recalculation tables following chapter 8.1 - Recalculations.

Uncertainties

Uncertainty estimates for activity data of mobile sources derive from research project FKZ 360 16 023: “Ermittlung der Unsicherheiten der mit den Modellen TREMOD und TREMOD-MM berechneten Luftschadstoffemissionen des landgebundenen Verkehrs in Deutschland” by (Knörr et al. (2009)) 6).

Uncertainty estimates for emission factors were compiled during the PAREST research project. Here, the final report has not yet been published.

Planned improvements

Besides a routine revision of TREMOD MM, no specific improvements are planned.

FAQs

Why are similar EF applied for estimating exhaust heavy metal emissions from both fossil and biofuels?

The EF provided in 7) represent summatory values for (i) the fuel's and (ii) the lubricant's heavy-metal content as well as (iii) engine wear. Here, there might be no heavy metal contained the biofuels. But since the specific shares of (i), (ii) and (iii) cannot be separated, and since the contributions of lubricant and engine wear might be dominant, the same emission factors are applied to biodiesel and bioethanol.


6) Knörr et al. (2009): Knörr, W., Heldstab, J., & Kasser, F.: Ermittlung der Unsicherheiten der mit den Modellen TREMOD und TREMOD-MM berechneten Luftschadstoffemissionen des landgebundenen Verkehrs in Deutschland; final report; URL: https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/sites/default/files/medien/461/publikationen/3937.pdf, FKZ 360 16 023, Heidelberg & Zürich, 2009.