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sector:energy:fuel_combustion:transport:road_transport:abrasive_emissions_from_road_vehicles:start [2022/01/27 07:04] – [Recalculations] kotzullasector:energy:fuel_combustion:transport:road_transport:abrasive_emissions_from_road_vehicles:start [2023/03/14 11:50] (current) – [Activity data] kotzulla
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 ====Activity data ==== ====Activity data ====
  
-Specific mileage data for all different types of road vehicles are generated within TREMOD (Knörr et al., 2021a) [(KNOERR2021a)]. +Specific mileage data for all different types of road vehicles are generated within TREMOD (Knörr et al., 2022a) [(KNOERR2022a)]. 
 The following table provides an overview of annual mileages.  The following table provides an overview of annual mileages. 
  
 __Table 1: Mileage data for road vehicles 1990-2020, in 10<sup>6</sup> kilometers__  __Table 1: Mileage data for road vehicles 1990-2020, in 10<sup>6</sup> kilometers__ 
-|                                ^  1990    ^  1995    ^  2000    ^  2005    ^  2010    ^  2011    ^  2012    ^  2013    ^  2014    ^  2015    ^  2016    ^  2017    ^  2018    ^  2019    ^  2020    ^ +|                                ^  1990    ^  1995    ^  2000    ^  2005    ^  2010    ^  2011    ^  2012    ^  2013    ^  2014    ^  2015    ^  2016    ^  2017    ^  2018    ^  2019    ^  2020    ^  2021    ^ 
-^ Passenger Cars                 |  588,898 |  487,373 |  464,231 |  514,293 |  568,833 |  582,833 |  588,342 |  597,222 |  611,403 |  621,230 |  630,488 |  637,690 |  639,989 |  649,851 |  564,736 | +^ Passenger Cars                 |  492,280 |  535,524 |  565,345 |  580,076 |  596,532 |  606,233 |  607,519 |  612,573 |  623,683 |  630,995 |  638,156 |  643,711 |  643,198 |  645,829 |  548,971 |  546,127 | 
-^ Light Duty Vehicles            |   13,965 |   24,193 |   32,374 |   36,422 |   39,382 |   39,788 |   40,259 |   40,710 |   43,190 |   45,436 |   47,627 |   49,953 |   52,264 |   54,084 |   52,151 | +^ Light Duty Vehicles            |   14,259 |   23,294 |   31,541 |   35,938 |   39,226 |   39,703 |   40,185 |   40,673 |   43,111 |   45,329 |   47,457 |   49,698 |   51,917 |   53,656 |   50,982 |   54,570 | 
-^ Heavy Duty Vehicles            |   40,827 |   54,279 |   62,659 |   60,974 |   62,979 |   64,519 |   63,810 |   64,318 |   64,822 |   65,823 |   66,697 |   67,346 |   68,059 |   68,968 |   66,635 | +^ Heavy Duty Vehicles            |   40,827 |   54,025 |   62,478 |   60,919 |   61,935 |   63,562 |   63,105 |   65,194 |   65,174 |   66,412 |   68,409 |   69,216 |   70,604 |   70,007 |   67,029 |   68,726 | 
-| //thereof: Lorries & Trucks//  |   36,657 |   50,362 |   58,621 |   56,877 |   58,799 |   60,324 |   59,572 |   60,064 |   60,553 |   61,408 |   62,138 |   62,833 |   63,539 |   64,396 |   63,045 | +| //thereof: Lorries & Trucks//  |   36,657 |   50,109 |   58,440 |   56,788 |   57,728 |   59,339 |   58,860 |   60,896 |   60,534 |   61,548 |   63,061 |   64,704 |   66,084 |   65,435 |   64,128 |   65,876 | 
-| //thereof: Buses//             |    4,170 |    3,916 |    4,038 |    4,098 |    4,180 |    4,195 |    4,238 |    4,254 |    4,269 |    4,415 |    4,560 |    4,512 |    4,520 |    4,572 |    3,590 | +| //thereof: Buses//             |    4,170 |    3,916 |    4,038 |    4,132 |    4,208 |    4,223 |    4,245 |    4,298 |    4,640 |    4,865 |    5,349 |    4,512 |    4,520 |    4,572 |    2,901 |    2,851 | 
-^ Two-wheelers                   |   51,554 |  132,273 |  141,013 |   88,061 |   46,636 |   41,741 |   36,830 |   32,719 |   29,615 |   27,589 |   25,507 |   23,954 |   22,888 |   22,186 |   21,101 | +^ Two-wheelers                   |   15,734 |   12,303 |   15,161 |   15,621 |   15,298 |   14,866 |   14,463 |   14,196 |   14,200 |   14,508 |   14,519 |   14,503 |   14,625 |   14,842 |   14,985 |   13,407 | 
-| //thereof: Mopeds//            |    5,917 |    3,830 |    5,042 |    6,298 |    6,333 |    6,120 |    5,919 |    5,856 |    5,713 |    5,821 |    5,718 |    5,578 |    5,621 |    5,643 |    5,602 | +| //thereof: Mopeds//            |    5,917 |    3,830 |    4,047 |    4,191 |    4,990 |    4,855 |    4,742 |    4,755 |    4,684 |    4,870 |    4,831 |    4,730 |    4,849 |    4,922 |    5,039 |    4,479 | 
-| //thereof: Motorcycles//       |   45,637 |  128,443 |  135,970 |   81,763 |   40,303 |   35,621 |   30,911 |   26,862 |   23,902 |   21,768 |   19,789 |   18,376 |   17,267 |   16,543 |   15,499 | +| //thereof: Motorcycles//       |    9,817 |    8,473 |   11,113 |   11,429 |   10,308 |   10,011 |    9,721 |    9,441 |    9,516 |    9,638 |    9,687 |    9,773 |    9,776 |    9,920 |    9,946 |    8,928 | 
-| **TOTAL MILEAGE**              ^  695,243 ^  698,118 ^  700,277 ^  699,750 ^  717,829 ^  728,881 ^  729,242 ^  734,968 ^  749,029 ^  760,077 ^  770,319 ^  778,942 ^  783,200 ^  795,089 ^  704,622 ^+| **TOTAL MILEAGE**              ^  563,099 ^  625,145 ^  674,524 ^  692,554 ^  712,991 ^  724,364 ^  725,271 ^  732,636 ^  746,168 ^  757,244 ^  768,541 ^  777,128 ^  780,345 ^  784,334 ^  681,965 ^  682,831 ^ 
 + 
 +The following chart illustrates the increase in annual mileage of electric road vehicles in 10<sup>6</sup> kilometers. Despite the exponential growth, only about 1 per cent of annual mileage was "electric" in 2021 (7,000,000,000 of 682,831,000,000 km). 
 +{{ :sector:energy:fuel_combustion:transport:road_transport:1a3b_mileage_electric.png?700 | Annual mileage of electric road vehicles }}
  
 ===== Discussion of emission trends ===== ===== Discussion of emission trends =====
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 +===== Recalculations =====
  
 +Compared to last year's submission, mileage data has been revised widely due to the availability of additional data sources.
 +However, total mileage changed only marginally.
  
  
 +__Table 2: Revised total annual mileage data, in 10<sup>6</sup> kilometers___
 +|                      ^  1990    ^  1995    ^  2000    ^  2005    ^  2010    ^  2011    ^  2012    ^  2013    ^  2014    ^  2015    ^  2016    ^  2017    ^  2018    ^  2019    ^  2020    ^
 +^ current submission   |  563,099 |  625,145 |  674,524 |  692,554 |  712,991 |  724,364 |  725,271 |  732,636 |  746,168 |  757,244 |  768,541 |  777,128 |  780,345 |  784,334 |  681,965 |
 +^ previous submission  |  563,099 |  625,399 |  674,705 |  692,609 |  714,035 |  725,321 |  725,977 |  731,761 |  745,817 |  756,655 |  766,829 |  775,277 |  777,801 |  783,298 |  686,804 |
 +^ absolute change      |     0.00 |     -253 |     -181 |      -55 |   -1,044 |     -957 |     -705 |      875 |      351 |      589 |    1,712 |    1,851 |    2,544 |    1,036 |   -4,839 |
 +^ relative change      |    0.00% |   -0.04% |   -0.03% |   -0.01% |   -0.15% |   -0.13% |   -0.10% |    0.12% |    0.05% |    0.08% |    0.22% |    0.24% |    0.33% |    0.13% |   -0.70% |
  
 +----
  
  
- +[(KNOERR2022a> Knörr et al. (2022a): Knörr, W., Heidt, C., Gores, S., & Bergk, F.: ifeu Institute for Energy and Environmental Research (Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg gGmbH, ifeu): Fortschreibung des Daten- und Rechenmodells: Energieverbrauch und Schadstoffemissionen des motorisierten Verkehrs in Deutschland 1960-2035, sowie TREMOD, im Auftrag des Umweltbundesamtes, Heidelberg & Berlin, 2022. )]
- +
- +
- +
- +
- +
- +
-===== Planned improvements ===== +
- +
-Besides the **routine revision of the TREMOD model**, no specific improvements are planned.  +
- +
-[(KNOERR2021a> Knörr et al. (2021a): Knörr, W., Heidt, C., Gores, S., & Bergk, F.: ifeu Institute for Energy and Environmental Research (Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg gGmbH, ifeu): Fortschreibung des Daten- und Rechenmodells: Energieverbrauch und Schadstoffemissionen des motorisierten Verkehrs in Deutschland 1960-2035, sowie TREMOD, im Auftrag des Umweltbundesamtes, Heidelberg & Berlin, 2021.)]. +
-[(EMEPEEA2019> EMEP/EEA, 2019: EMEP/EEA air pollutant emission inventory guidebook – 2019)]+