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sector:energy:fuel_combustion:small_combustion:mobile_small_combustion:agriculture_and_forestry:forestry [2021/02/15 20:40] – [Table] kotzullasector:energy:fuel_combustion:small_combustion:mobile_small_combustion:agriculture_and_forestry:forestry [2021/12/15 20:00] (current) – external edit 127.0.0.1
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 ====Activity data==== ====Activity data====
  
-Primary activity data (PAD) are taken from National Energy Balances (NEBs) line 67: 'Commercial, trade, services and other consumers' (AGEB, 2018) [((bibcite 1))].+Primary activity data (PAD) are taken from National Energy Balances (NEBs) line 67: 'Commercial, trade, services and other consumers' (AGEB, 2020) [(AGEB2020)].
  
-Following the deduction of energy inputs for military vehicles as provided in (BAFA, 2018) [((bibcite 2))], the remaining amounts of gasoline and diesel oil are apportioned onto off-road construction vehicles (NFR 1.A.2.g vii) and off-road vehicles in commercial/institutional use (1.A.4. ii) as well as agriculture and forestry (NFR 1.A.4.c ii) based upon annual shares derived from TREMOD MM (Knörr et al. (2019b)) [((bibcite 3))] (cf. [[[ 1-a-4-mobile-combustion | NFR 1.A.4 - mobile ]]]).+Following the deduction of energy inputs for military vehicles as provided in (BAFA, 2020) [(BAFA2020)], the remaining amounts of gasoline and diesel oil are apportioned onto off-road construction vehicles (NFR 1.A.2.g vii) and off-road vehicles in commercial/institutional use (1.A.4. ii) as well as agriculture and forestry (NFR 1.A.4.c ii) based upon annual shares derived from TREMOD MM (Knörr et al. (2020b) [(KNOERR2020b)] (cf. NFR 1.A.4 - mobile).
  
 __Table 1: Annual contribution of forestry vehicles and mobile machinery to the primary fuel delivery data provided in NEB line 67__ __Table 1: Annual contribution of forestry vehicles and mobile machinery to the primary fuel delivery data provided in NEB line 67__
-|  **1990**        **1995**  |  **2000**  |  **2005**  |  **2010**  |  **2011**  |  **2012**  |  **2013**  |  **2014**  |  **2015**  |  **2016**  |  **2017**  |  **2018**  | **2019** +|  **1990**        **1995**  |  **2000**  |  **2005**  |  **2010**  |  **2011**  |  **2012**  |  **2013**  |  **2014**  |  **2015**  |  **2016**  |  **2017**  |  **2018**  **2019** 
-^ Diesel fuels                                                                                                                                                               |||||||||||||| +^ Diesel fuels                                                                                                                                                                |||||||||||||| 
-|           2,41% |      1,36% |      2,16% |      2,88% |      2,92% |      2,99% |      2,77% |      2,76% |      2,81% |      2,89% |      2,72% |      2,79% |      3,35% |     3,54% | +|           2,41% |      1,36% |      2,16% |      2,88% |      2,92% |      2,99% |      2,77% |      2,76% |      2,81% |      2,89% |      2,72% |      2,79% |      3,35% |      3,54% | 
-^ Gasoline fuels                                                                                                                                                             |||||||||||||| +^ Gasoline fuels                                                                                                                                                              |||||||||||||| 
-|           68,5% |      40,3% |      44,9% |      41,4% |      35,5% |      35,6% |      33,1% |      32,9% |      33,1% |      33,3% |      31,6% |      31,9% |      35,8% |     36,8% | +|           68,5% |      40,3% |      44,9% |      41,4% |      35,5% |      35,6% |      33,1% |      32,9% |      33,1% |      33,3% |      31,6% |      31,9% |      35,8% |      36,8% | 
-source: own estimates based on [((bibcite 3))]+source: own estimates based on [(KNOERR2020b)]
  
 __Table 2: Annual mobile fuel consumption in forestry, in terajoules__ __Table 2: Annual mobile fuel consumption in forestry, in terajoules__
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 The emission factors used here are of rather different quality: The emission factors used here are of rather different quality:
-For all **main pollutants**, **carbon monoxide** and **particulate matter**, annually changing values computed within TREMOD MM (Knörr et al. (2018b)) [((bibcite 3))] are used, representing the development of mitigation technologies and th effect of fuel-quality legislation. +For all **main pollutants**, **carbon monoxide** and **particulate matter**, annually changing values computed within TREMOD MM (Knörr et al. (2020b)) [(KNOERR2020b)] are used, representing the development of mitigation technologies and th effect of fuel-quality legislation. 
  
-__Table 3: Annual coutry-specific emission factors from TREMOD MM ^^1^^__+__Table 3: Annual coutry-specific emission factors from TREMOD MM<sup>1</sup>__
 |                      **1990**  |  **1995**  |  **2000**  |  **2005**  |  **2010**  |  **2011**  |  **2012**  |  **2013**  |  **2014**  |  **2015**  |  **2016**  |  **2017**  |  **2018**  | **2019**  | |                      **1990**  |  **1995**  |  **2000**  |  **2005**  |  **2010**  |  **2011**  |  **2012**  |  **2013**  |  **2014**  |  **2015**  |  **2016**  |  **2017**  |  **2018**  | **2019**  |
 | **Gasoline fuels**                                                                                                                                                              ||||||||||||||           | | **Gasoline fuels**                                                                                                                                                              ||||||||||||||           |
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 <sup>3</sup> from gasoline evaporation\\ <sup>3</sup> from gasoline evaporation\\
 <sup>4</sup> EF(PM<sub>2.5</sub>) also applied for PM<sub>10</sub> and TSP (assumption: > 99% of TSP consists of PM<sub>2.5</sub>)\\ <sup>4</sup> EF(PM<sub>2.5</sub>) also applied for PM<sub>10</sub> and TSP (assumption: > 99% of TSP consists of PM<sub>2.5</sub>)\\
-<sup>5</sup> estimated via a f-BCs as provided in [((bibcite 3))], Chapter 1.A.2.g vii, 1.A.4.a ii, b ii, c ii, 1.A.5.b i - Non-road, note to Table 3-1: Tier 1 emission factors for off-road machinery \\+<sup>5</sup> estimated via a f-BCs as provided in [(EMEPEEA2019)], Chapter 1.A.2.g vii, 1.A.4.a ii, b ii, c ii, 1.A.5.b i - Non-road, note to Table 3-1: Tier 1 emission factors for off-road machinery \\
 <sup>6</sup> from leaded gasoline (until 1997) <sup>6</sup> from leaded gasoline (until 1997)
  
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 </WRAP> </WRAP>
  
-> For information on the **emission factors for heavy-metal and POP exhaust emissions**, please refer to [[[ appendix2.3-HM-from-mobile-sources | Appendix 2.3 - Heavy Metal (HM) exhaust emissions from mobile sources]]] and [[[ appendix2.4-POPs-from-mobile-sources | Appendix 2.4 - Persistent Organic Pollutant (POP) exhaust emissions from mobile sources ]]].+> For information on the **emission factors for heavy-metal and POP exhaust emissions**, please refer to Appendix 2.3 - Heavy Metal (HM) exhaust emissions from mobile sources and  Appendix 2.4 - Persistent Organic Pollutant (POP) exhaust emissions from mobile sources. 
 ===== Recalculations ===== ===== Recalculations =====
  
-Revisions in **activity data** result from slightly adapted NCVs (2015-2017) as well as the implementation of primary activity data from the now finalised NEB 2017.+Revisions in **activity data** result from slightly adapted EBZ67 shares as well as the implementation of primary activity data from the now finalised NEB 2018.
  
-__Table 5: Revised annual mobile fuel consumption in forestry, in terajoules__ +__Table 5: Revised annual contribution of 1.A.2.g vii to fuel-specific over-all fuel deliveries provided in NEB line 67__ 
-|| ||= **2015** ||= **2016** ||= **2017** ||+                     **1990**   **1995**   **2000**  **2005**  | **2010**  **2011**   **2012**   **2013**  **2014**  **2015**   **2016**   **2017**   **2018**  | 
-||||||||||||||||||||||||||||= **diesel fuels** ||+**diesel fuels**                                                                                                                                                           |||||||||||||| 
-||~ Submission 2020 ||> 2,846 ||> 2,778 ||> 2,931 ||+^ Submission 2021          0,024      0,014      0,022     0,029     0,029     0,030      0,028      0,028     0,028     0,029      0,027      0,028 |      0,034 | 
-||~ Submission 2019 ||> 2,846 ||> 2,778 ||> 2,914 ||+Submission 2020          0,024      0,013      0,020     0,027     0,027     0,027      0,025      0,026     0,026     0,027      0,025      0,026      0,026 | 
-||~ absolute change ||> 0.10 ||> 0.11 ||> 17.09 ||+^ absolute change         0,0003     0,0002     0,0011    0,0023    0,0024    0,0025     0,0024     0,0020    0,0022    0,0023     0,0021     0,0022     0,0076 | 
-||~ relative change ||> 0.003% ||> 0.004% ||> 0.59% ||+relative change          1,08%      1,62% |      5,38%     8,71% |     9,16%     9,27% |      9,36%      7,86%     8,29%     8,56%      8,54%      8,63%      29,4% | 
-||||||||||||||||||||||||||||= **gasoline fuels** ||+**gasoline fuels**                                                                                                                                                         |||||||||||||| 
-||~ Submission 2020 ||> 1,772 ||> 1,685 ||> 1,700 ||+^ Submission 2021          0,685      0,403      0,449     0,414     0,355     0,356      0,331      0,329     0,331     0,333      0,316      0,319      0,358 | 
-||~ Submission 2019 ||> 1,772 ||> 1,686 ||> 1,970 ||= +^ Submission 2020          0,685 |      0,403      0,449     0,416     0,360     0,362      0,337      0,335     0,338     0,341      0,324      0,327      0,327 
-||~ absolute change ||> -0.03 ||> -0.02 ||> -270 ||= +absolute change          0,000      0,000 |      0,000    -0,002    -0,005    -0,005     -0,006     -0,006    -0,007    -0,008     -0,008     -0,009      0,031 
-||~ relative change ||> -0.002% ||> -0.001% ||> -13.72% ||= +^ relative change          0,00%      0,00%      0,00%    -0,46%    -1,29%    -1,46%     -1,70%     -1,88%    -2,06%    -2,23% |     -2,48% |     -2,66% |      9,34% |
-||||||||||||||||||||||||||||= **over-all fuel consumption** ||= +
-||~ Submission 2020 ||> 4,618 ||> 4,463 ||> 4,631 ||= +
-||~ Submission 2019 ||> 4,618 ||> 4,463 ||> 4,884 ||= +
-||~ absolute change ||> 0.07 ||> 0.08 ||> -253 ||+
-||~ relative change ||> 0.002% ||> 0.002% ||> -5.19% ||=+
  
 +__Table 6: Revised activity data, in terajoules__
 +|                                |  **1990**  |  **1995**  |  **2000**  | **2005**  | **2010**  | **2011**  |  **2012**  |  **2013**  | **2014**  | **2015**  |  **2016**  |  **2017**  |  **2018**  |
 +| **diesel fuels**                                                                                                                                                                      ||||||||||||||
 +^ Submission 2021                |      2.695 |      1.332 |      2.051 |     2.519 |     2.781 |     2.902 |      2.646 |      2.711 |     2.886 |     3.092 |      3.016 |      3.185 |      3.590 |
 +^ Submission 2020                |      2.666 |      1.311 |      1.946 |     2.221 |     2.519 |     2.645 |      2.408 |      2.510 |     2.662 |     2.846 |      2.778 |      2.931 |      2.758 |
 +^ absolute change                |       28,9 |       21,2 |        105 |       298 |       262 |       257 |        239 |        201 |       223 |       245 |        239 |        254 |        831 |
 +^ relative change                |      1,08% |      1,62% |      5,38% |     13,4% |     10,4% |     9,70% |      9,91% |      8,00% |     8,38% |     8,62% |      8,59% |      8,67% |      30,1% |
 +| **gasoline fuels**                                                                                                                                                                    ||||||||||||||
 +^ Submission 2021                |      3.093 |      3.004 |      3.325 |     3.043 |     1.603 |     1.462 |        409 |        400 |       430 |     1.732 |      1.644 |      1.655 |      1.819 |
 +^ Submission 2020                |      3.093 |      3.004 |      3.325 |     3.057 |     1.624 |     1.484 |        416 |        407 |       439 |     1.772 |      1.685 |      1.700 |      1.663 |
 +^ absolute change                |       0,00 |       0,00 |       0,00 |     -14,0 |     -21,0 |     -21,7 |       -7,1 |       -7,7 |      -9,0 |     -39,6 |      -41,8 |      -45,1 |        155 |
 +^ relative change                |      0,00% |      0,00% |      0,00% |    -0,46% |    -1,29% |    -1,46% |     -1,70% |     -1,88% |    -2,06% |    -2,23% |     -2,48% |     -2,66% |      9,34% |
 +| **over-all fuel consumption**                                                                                                                                                         ||||||||||||||
 +^ Submission 2021                |      5.788 |      4.336 |      5.375 |     5.562 |     4.383 |     4.364 |      3.055 |      3.110 |     3.316 |     4.824 |      4.660 |      4.840 |      5.409 |
 +^ Submission 2020                |      5.759 |      4.315 |      5.271 |     5.278 |     4.143 |     4.129 |      2.824 |      2.917 |     3.102 |     4.618 |      4.463 |      4.631 |      4.422 |
 +^ absolute change                |       28,9 |       21,2 |        105 |       284 |       241 |       235 |        231 |        193 |       214 |       206 |        197 |        209 |        987 |
 +^ relative change                |      0,50% |      0,49% |      1,99% |     5,38% |     5,81% |     5,69% |      8,20% |      6,62% |     6,90% |     4,46% |      4,41% |      4,51% |      22,3% |
  
 As in contrast, all **emission factors** remain unrevised compared to last year's susbmission, emission estimates for the years as of 2015 change in accordance with the underlying activity data. As in contrast, all **emission factors** remain unrevised compared to last year's susbmission, emission estimates for the years as of 2015 change in accordance with the underlying activity data.
  
 +<WRAP center round info 60%>
 +For specific information on recalculated emission estimates for Base Year and 2018, please see the pollutant specific recalculation tables following chapter [[general:recalculations:start | 8.1 - Recalculations]].
 +</WRAP>
  
-> For more **information on the impacts on emission estimates for Base Year and 2017**, please see the pollutant specific recalculation tables following chapter [[[recalculations | 8.1 - Recalculations]]]. +[(AGEB2020>AGEB, 2020: Working Group on Energy Balances (Arbeitsgemeinschaft Energiebilanzen (Hrsg.), AGEB): Energiebilanz für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland; URL: http://www.ag-energiebilanzen.de/7-0-Bilanzen-1990-2018.html, (Aufruf: 29.11.2020), Köln & Berlin, 2020.)] 
- +[(BAFA2020>BAFA, 2020: Federal Office of Economics and Export Control (Bundesamt für Wirtschaft und Ausfuhrkontrolle, BAFA): Amtliche Mineralöldaten für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland; 
-[!-- +URL: https://www.bafa.de/SharedDocs/Downloads/DE/Energie/Mineraloel/moel_amtliche_daten_2018_dezember.html, Eschborn, 2020.)]    
- +[(KNOERR2020b> Knörr et al. (2020b): Knörr, W., Heidt, C., Gores, S., & Bergk, F.: ifeu Institute for Energy and Environmental Research (Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg gGmbH, ifeu): Aktualisierung des Modells TREMOD-Mobile Machinery (TREMOD MM) 2020, Heidelberg, 2020.)] 
-+ __Planned improvements__ +[(EMEPEEA2019> EMEP/EEA, 2019: EMEP/EEA air pollutant emission inventory guidebook – 2019, Copenhagen, 2019.)] 
- +[(RENTZ2008> Rentz et al., 2008: Nationaler Durchführungsplan unter dem Stockholmer Abkommen zu persistenten organischen Schadstoffen (POPs), im Auftrag des Umweltbundesamtes, FKZ 205 67 444, UBA Texte | 01/2008, January 2008 - URL: http://www.umweltbundesamt.de/en/publikationen/nationaler-durchfuehrungsplan-unter-stockholmer )] 
-+ __FAQs__ +[(KNOERR2009> Knörr et al. (2009): Knörr, W., Heldstab, J., & Kasser, F.: Ermittlung der Unsicherheiten der mit den Modellen TREMOD und TREMOD-MM berechneten Luftschadstoffemissionen des landgebundenen Verkehrs in Deutschland; final report; URL: https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/sites/default/files/medien/461/publikationen/3937.pdf, FKZ 360 16 023, Heidelberg & Zürich, 2009.)]
- +
---] +
- +
------- +
- +
-[[bibliography]] +
-: 1 : AGEB, 2019: Working Group on Energy Balances (Arbeitsgemeinschaft Energiebilanzen (Hrsg.), AGEB): Energiebilanz für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland; URL: https://ag-energiebilanzen.de/7-0-Bilanzen-1990-2017.html, (Aufruf: 30.11.2019), Köln & Berlin, 2019+
-: 2 : BAFA, 2019: Federal Office of Economics and Export Control (Bundesamt für Wirtschaft und Ausfuhrkontrolle, BAFA): Amtliche Mineralöldaten für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland;  +
-URL: https://www.bafa.de/SharedDocs/Downloads/DE/Energie/Mineraloel/moel_amtliche_daten_2017_dezember.html, Eschborn, 2019.    +
-: 3 : Knörr et al. (2019b): Knörr, W., Heidt, C., Gores, S., & Bergk, F. (2019b): ifeu Institute for Energy and Environmental Research (Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg gGmbH, ifeu): Aktualisierung des Modells TREMOD-Mobile Machinery (TREMOD MM) 2019, Heidelberg, 2019+
-: 4 : EMEP/EEA, 2019: EMEP/EEA air pollutant emission inventory guidebook – 2019, Copenhagen, 2019. +
-: 5 : Rentz et al., 2008: Nationaler Durchführungsplan unter dem Stockholmer Abkommen zu persistenten organischen Schadstoffen (POPs), im Auftrag des Umweltbundesamtes, FKZ 205 67 444, UBA Texte | 01/2008, January 2008 - URL: http://www.umweltbundesamt.de/en/publikationen/nationaler-durchfuehrungsplan-unter-stockholmer +
-[[/bibliography]]+