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general:projections:recalculations [2021/04/23 08:38] – created brauns | general:projections:recalculations [2023/03/15 10:17] – hausmann | ||
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- | ====== Introduction ====== | + | <WRAP center round info 60%> |
+ | Projections have not yet been updated for the 2023 submission. The content below is outdated. | ||
+ | </ | ||
- | ===== Context | + | ===== Recalculations |
- | Reliable data on historic emissions are key to the political process and to decisions on abatement technology promotion. However, future | + | Due to recalculations for the emission inventory submission 2020, all emission reduction potentials had to be updated compared to the emission inventory submission 2018, upon which the emission |
- | For the National Air Pollution Control Programme, a new database within this system was created in 2018 that is basically a copy of the German inventory database. In addition, multiple scenarios are taken into account, sketching development of activity data and emission | + | The following figures show the differences between submission |
+ | **Nitrogen Oxide (NO< | ||
- | ===== Policies ===== | + | For NO< |
- | For the past few years, climate change and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions have been an important issue in society and politics. GHG emission inventories have seen a lot of attention as a consequence. However, there have also been a couple of air pollution related headlines, including " | + | {{:general:projections: |
- | * Energy | + | |
- | * Phase-out of coal use for energy production until 2038 with significant reductions before 2030 | + | |
- | * Recent high Emission Tradring System (ETS) prices and low natural gas prices cause a shift in the energy market, abandoning coal even faster | + | |
- | * Increased production of renewable energy | + | |
- | * New regulations with stricter limit values for some installation types | + | |
- | | + | **Sulfur Dioxide (SO< |
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- | | + | |
- | * Agriculture | + | The coal phase-out is also the reason for the differences between the two WM scenarios for SO< |
- | * New " | + | |
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+ | **Non-Methane Volatile Organic Compounds (NMVOC)** | ||
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+ | The current NMVOC emission projections show a different trend than the 2019 projections in both scenarios, caused by updated economic projections, | ||
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+ | {{: | ||
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+ | **Ammonia (NH< | ||
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+ | The current WM scenario for NH< | ||
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+ | {{: | ||
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+ | **Fine Particulate Matter (PM< | ||
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+ | For fine PM (PM< | ||
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+ | First, there are higher PM< | ||
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+ | {{: | ||