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general:projections:start [2021/04/06 11:47] – braunsgeneral:projections:start [2021/04/06 13:00] – brauns
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-====== 9 - Projections ====== +====== Chapter 9 - Projections ====== 
  
 In May 2019, Germany published its first National Air Pollution Control Programme ([[https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/nlrp2019|NAPCP]]) under the revised NEC directive (EU) 2016/2284. It covers all up-to-date information on projected air pollutant emissions and mitigation approaches in detail. In addition, Germany also published the same results under the CLRTAP using the Annex IV projected emissions templates, presenting both the "with measures" (WM) and the "with additional measures" (WAM) scenarios as defined in the NAPCP 2019 mentioned to above. According to Article 8 (6) of the EU Directive 2016/2284, these projections must be updated and reported every two years. Emission projections under the CLRTAP are therefore fully aligned with the reporting presented in the context of the NEC directive. In May 2019, Germany published its first National Air Pollution Control Programme ([[https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/nlrp2019|NAPCP]]) under the revised NEC directive (EU) 2016/2284. It covers all up-to-date information on projected air pollutant emissions and mitigation approaches in detail. In addition, Germany also published the same results under the CLRTAP using the Annex IV projected emissions templates, presenting both the "with measures" (WM) and the "with additional measures" (WAM) scenarios as defined in the NAPCP 2019 mentioned to above. According to Article 8 (6) of the EU Directive 2016/2284, these projections must be updated and reported every two years. Emission projections under the CLRTAP are therefore fully aligned with the reporting presented in the context of the NEC directive.
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 The emission factors for all non-gaseous materials other than coal for electricity and heat generation are considered and the maximum emission amount for NO<sub>X</sub> is assumed to be 85 mg / Nm<sup>3</sup>. The relevant fuels are heavy fuel oil, light heating oil and other petroleum products. According to the 13<sup>th</sup> BImSchV, only plants with more than 1500 operating hours per year are taken into account for which the new limit value of 85 mg / Nm<sup>3</sup> NO<sub>X</sub> applies. Table 10 shows the estimated relative and absolute plant split of the LCP according to its annual operating time assuming an equal fuel use distribution.  The emission factors for all non-gaseous materials other than coal for electricity and heat generation are considered and the maximum emission amount for NO<sub>X</sub> is assumed to be 85 mg / Nm<sup>3</sup>. The relevant fuels are heavy fuel oil, light heating oil and other petroleum products. According to the 13<sup>th</sup> BImSchV, only plants with more than 1500 operating hours per year are taken into account for which the new limit value of 85 mg / Nm<sup>3</sup> NO<sub>X</sub> applies. Table 10 shows the estimated relative and absolute plant split of the LCP according to its annual operating time assuming an equal fuel use distribution. 
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 __Table 10: Estimated relative and absolute plant split of LCP according to operating time in the year__ __Table 10: Estimated relative and absolute plant split of LCP according to operating time in the year__
 ^ Operation time ^  RTI in MW  ^  Proportion  ^ ^ Operation time ^  RTI in MW  ^  Proportion  ^