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- | TODO | + | ====== Chapter 9 - Projections ====== |
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+ | In May 2019, Germany published its first National Air Pollution Control Programme ([[https:// | ||
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+ | Based on the emissions inventory submission 2020 these results can be summarized as follows: | ||
+ | ^ kt | ||
+ | | National Total 2005 (submission 2020) | ||
+ | | National Total 2010 (submission 2020) | ||
+ | | National Total 2018 (submission 2020) | 1084 | 289 | 816 | 636 | 97 | | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | | Reduction Commitment 2020 [%] | -39 | -21 | -13 | -5 | -26 | | ||
+ | | Reduction Commitment 2020 [kt] | 929 | 377 | 1029 | 609 | 104 | | ||
+ | | Projected Emissions 2020 WM [%] | ||
+ | | Projected Emissions 2020 WAM [%] | 36 | 39 | 34 | 11 | 30 | | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | | Reduction Commitment 2030 [%] | -65 | -58 | -28 | -29 | -43 | | ||
+ | | Reduction Commitment 2030 [kt] | 533 | 200 | 852 | 455 | 80 | | ||
+ | | Projected Emissions 2030 WM [%] | 62 | 60 | 32 | 20 | 43 | | ||
+ | | Projected Emissions 2030 WAM [%] | ||
+ | |< | ||
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+ | ===== Results ===== | ||
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+ | Modelling different scenarios in our database, we finally calculated the following numbers for Germany' | ||
+ | | ^ | ||
+ | ^ Reduction commitment [% reduction vs. 2005] | | ||
+ | ^ With measures [kt] | | ||
+ | ^ With measures [% reduction vs. 2005] | | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | ^ With additional measures [kt] | | ||
+ | ^ With additional measures [% reduction vs. 2005] | | ||
+ | ^ Amendment of 13< | ||
+ | ^ Agriculture package | | ||
+ | ^ Promotion of public transport, cycling and walking | | ||
+ | ^ Low-sulphur fuels in industry | | -11.37 | ||
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+ | With these numbers, Germany will meet its reduction commitments for almost all pollutants in 2030 at least in the WAM scenario. Only NO< | ||
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+ | The following figures show the developments for each pollutant in the WM and WAM scenarios. In addition, the reduction commitments for 2020 to 2029 and from 2030 as well as the linear reduction path are shown. Please note that projected emissions were only calculated for the years 2020, 2025 and 2030. A linear reduction in the years between can not be assumed but is shown in the graphs just for illustrative reasons. | ||
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