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general:uncertainty_evaluation:start [2022/03/03 07:30] – [SO2] Update to 2022 submission hausmann | general:uncertainty_evaluation:start [2022/03/03 07:39] – [NH3] Update to 2022 submission hausmann | ||
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- | NMVOC emissions and trends are driven by solvent use. While solvent contents of most products are well known, application context and use statistics introduce significant model error bars. Agriculture emissions of NMVOC are, while not very high in value, very uncertain and also contribute to the overall error margins. In sum, NMVOC emissions show moderate to high uncertainty. The national total has a 95% confidence interval of about -15% to +29% in 2019, which amounts to about 500kt of NMVOC. In order of significance, | + | NMVOC emissions and trends are driven by solvent use. While solvent contents of most products are well known, application context and use statistics introduce significant model error bars. Agriculture emissions of NMVOC are, while not very high in value, very uncertain and also contribute to the overall error margins. In sum, NMVOC emissions show moderate to high uncertainty. The national total has a 95% confidence interval of about -15.9% to +31.3% in 2020, which amounts to about 490kt of NMVOC. In order of significance, |
==== NH3 ==== | ==== NH3 ==== | ||
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- | Uncertainty in the NH< | + | Uncertainty in the NH< |
==== PM2.5 ==== | ==== PM2.5 ==== |