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sector:energy:fuel_combustion:transport:road_transport:abrasive_emissions_from_road_vehicles:start [2021/01/16 16:32] – created kotzullasector:energy:fuel_combustion:transport:road_transport:abrasive_emissions_from_road_vehicles:start [2022/03/10 12:13] (current) – kotzulla
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 ===== Methodology ===== ===== Methodology =====
  
-=== Activity data ===+====Activity data ====
  
-Specific mileage data for all different types of road vehicles are generated within TREMOD [((bibcite 1))]. +Specific mileage data for all different types of road vehicles are generated within TREMOD (Knörr et al., 2021a) [(KNOERR2021a)]. 
 The following table provides an overview of annual mileages.  The following table provides an overview of annual mileages. 
  
-__Table 1: Mileage data for road vehicles 1990-2018, in 10^^6^^ kilometers__  +__Table 1: Mileage data for road vehicles 1990-2020, in 10<sup>6</sup> kilometers__  
-|| ||= **1990** ||= **1995** ||= **2000** ||= **2005** ||= **2006** ||= **2007** ||= **2008** ||= **2009** ||= **2010** ||= **2011** ||= **2012** ||= **2013** ||= **2014** ||= **2015** ||= **2016** ||= **2017** ||= **2018** ||= +|                                ^  1990    ^  1995    ^  2000    ^  2005    ^  2010    ^  2011    ^  2012    ^  2013    ^  2014    ^  2015    ^  2016    ^  2017    ^  2018    ^  2019    ^  2020    ^ 
-||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||< **mileage: combustion engines** ||= +^ Passenger Cars                 |  588,898 |  487,373 |  464,231 |  514,293 |  568,833 |  582,833 |  588,342 |  597,222 |  611,403 |  621,230 |  630,488 |  637,690 |  639,989 |  649,851 |  564,736 | 
-||~ Passenger Cars ||> 488,574 ||> 530,900 ||> 560,300 ||> 574,776 ||> 580,455 ||> 584,060 ||> 581,068 ||> 591,437 ||> 595,363 ||> 605,066 ||> 606,320 ||> 611,348 ||> 621,905 ||> 629,261 ||> 636,322 ||> 641,629 ||> 641,266 ||= +^ Light Duty Vehicles            |   13,965 |   24,193 |   32,374 |   36,422 |   39,382 |   39,788 |   40,259 |   40,710 |   43,190 |   45,436 |   47,627 |   49,953 |   52,264 |   54,084 |   52,151 | 
-||~ Light Duty Vehicles ||> 17,964 ||> 27,917 ||> 36,585 ||> 41,203 ||> 37,802 ||> 38,927 ||> 39,282 ||> 39,748 ||> 40,218 ||> 40,694 ||> 41,165 ||> 41,650 ||> 42,033 ||> 45,609 ||> 47,709 ||> 49,838 ||> 52,157 ||= +^ Heavy Duty Vehicles            |   40,827 |   54,279 |   62,659 |   60,974 |   62,979 |   64,519 |   63,810 |   64,318 |   64,822 |   65,823 |   66,697 |   67,346 |   68,059 |   68,968 |   66,635 | 
-||~ Heavy Duty Vehicles ||> 40,827 ||> 54,310 ||> 62,624 ||> 60,953 ||> 63,401 ||> 65,505 ||> 65,166 ||> 60,752 ||> 62,836 ||> 64,303 ||> 63,610 ||> 64,240 ||> 64,714 ||> 65,613 ||> 66,596 ||> 67,476 ||> 68,457 ||= +| //thereof: Lorries & Trucks//  |   36,657 |   50,362 |   58,621 |   56,877 |   58,799 |   60,324 |   59,572 |   60,064 |   60,553 |   61,408 |   62,138 |   62,833 |   63,539 |   64,396 |   63,045 | 
-||< //thereof: Lorries & Trucks// ||> 36,657 ||> 50,362 ||> 58,621 ||> 56,877 ||> 59,374 ||> 61,483 ||> 61,244 ||> 56,751 ||> 58,799 ||> 60,312 ||> 59,635 ||> 60,191 ||> 60,539 ||> 61,394 ||> 62,339 ||> 63,296 ||> 64,263 ||= +| //thereof: Buses//             |    4,170 |    3,916 |    4,038 |    4,098 |    4,180 |    4,195 |    4,238 |    4,254 |    4,269 |    4,415 |    4,560 |    4,512 |    4,520 |    4,572 |    3,590 | 
-||<  //thereof: Buses// ||> 4,170 ||> 3,948 ||> 4,003 ||> 4,076 ||> 4,028 ||> 4,022 ||> 3,922 ||> 4,002 ||> 4,037 ||> 3,991 ||> 3,975 ||> 4,048 ||> 4,175 ||> 4,219 ||> 4,258 ||> 4,180 ||> 4,195 ||= +^ Two-wheelers                   |   51,554 |  132,273 |  141,013 |   88,061 |   46,636 |   41,741 |   36,830 |   32,719 |   29,615 |   27,589 |   25,507 |   23,954 |   22,888 |   22,186 |   21,101 | 
-||~ Two-wheelers ||> 15,734 ||> 11,851 ||> 14,816 ||> 15,399 ||> 15,294 ||> 15,622 ||> 15,458 ||> 15,664 ||> 15,192 ||> 14,793 ||> 14,402 ||> 14,157 ||> 14,184 ||> 14,487 ||> 14,492 ||> 14,489 ||> 14,624 ||= +| //thereof: Mopeds//            |    5,917 |    3,830 |    5,042 |    6,298 |    6,333 |    6,120 |    5,919 |    5,856 |    5,713 |    5,821 |    5,718 |    5,578 |    5,621 |    5,643 |    5,602 | 
-||~ **Ʃ from fuel combustion** ||~ 563,099 ||~ 624,978 ||~ 674,326 ||~ 692,331 ||~ 696,952 ||~ 704,114 ||~ 700,974 ||~ 707,602 ||~ 713,608 ||~ 724,856 ||~ 725,498 ||~ 731,394 ||~ 742,836 ||~ 754,969 ||~ 765,119 ||~ 773,432 ||~ 776,504 ||= +| //thereof: Motorcycles//       |   45,637 |  128,443 |  135,970 |   81,763 |   40,303 |   35,621 |   30,911 |   26,862 |   23,902 |   21,768 |   19,789 |   18,376 |   17,267 |   16,543 |   15,499 | 
-||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||< **mileage: electric engines** ||= +| **TOTAL MILEAGE**              ^  695,243 ^  698,118 ^  700,277 ^  699,750 ^  717,829 ^  728,881 ^  729,242 ^  734,968 ^  749,029 ^  760,077 ^  770,319 ^  778,942 ^  783,200 ^  795,089 ^  704,622 ^
-||~ Passenger Cars ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 53 ||> 92 ||> 162 ||> 255 ||> 379 ||> 625 ||> 996 ||= +
-||~ Light Duty Vehicles ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 13 ||> 19 ||> 23 ||> 30 ||> 43 ||> 74 ||> 119 ||= +
-||~ Heavy Duty Vehicles ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 19 ||> 19 ||> 21 ||> 22 ||> 23 ||> 26 ||> 32 ||= +
-||< //thereof: Lorries & Trucks// ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 13 ||> 13 ||> 14 ||> 14 ||> 14 ||> 16 ||> 21 ||= +
-||< //thereof: Buses// ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 6 ||> 6 ||> 7 ||> 8 ||> 9 ||> 10 ||> 11 ||= +
-||~ Two-wheelers ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 0 ||> 19 ||> 26 ||> 32 ||> 38 ||> 44 ||> 50 ||> 55 ||= +
-||~ **Ʃ from electric energy** ||~ 0 ||~ 0 ||~ 0 ||~ 0 ||~ 0 ||~ 0 ||~ 0 ||~ 0 ||~ 0 ||~ 0 ||~ 104 ||~ 156 ||~ 238 ||~ 345 ||~ 489 ||~ 775 ||~ 1,203 ||= +
-||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||< **milage: combustion and electric engines** ||= +
-||~ Passenger Cars ||> 488,574 ||> 530,900 ||> 560,300 ||> 574,776 ||> 580,455 ||> 584,060 ||> 581,068 ||> 591,437 ||> 595,363 ||> 605,066 ||> 606,373 ||> 611,439 ||> 622,067 ||> 629,516 ||> 636,701 ||> 642,254 ||> 642,262 ||= +
-||~ Light Duty Vehicles ||> 17,964 ||> 27,917 ||> 36,585 ||> 41,203 ||> 37,802 ||> 38,927 ||> 39,282 ||> 39,748 ||> 40,218 ||> 40,694 ||> 41,178 ||> 41,669 ||> 42,056 ||> 45,639 ||> 47,752 ||> 49,912 ||> 52,276 ||= +
-||~ Heavy Duty Vehicles ||> 40,827 ||> 54,310 ||> 62,624 ||> 60,953 ||> 63,401 ||> 65,505 ||> 65,166 ||> 60,752 ||> 62,836 ||> 64,303 ||> 63,629 ||> 64,259 ||> 64,735 ||> 65,635 ||> 66,620 ||> 67,502 ||> 68,490 ||= +
-||< //thereof: Lorries & Trucks// ||> 36,657 ||> 50,362 ||> 58,621 ||> 56,877 ||> 59,374 ||> 61,483 ||> 61,244 ||> 56,751 ||> 58,799 ||> 60,312 ||> 59,648 ||> 60,204 ||> 60,553 ||> 61,408 ||> 62,353 ||> 63,311 ||> 64,284 ||= +
-||> //thereof: Buses// ||> 4,170 ||> 3,948 ||> 4,003 ||> 4,076 ||> 4,028 ||> 4,022 ||> 3,922 ||> 4,002 ||> 4,037 ||> 3,991 ||> 3,981 ||> 4,055 ||> 4,182 ||> 4,227 ||> 4,267 ||> 4,190 ||> 4,206 ||= +
-||~ Two-wheelers ||> 15,734 ||> 11,851 ||> 14,816 ||> 15,399 ||> 15,294 ||> 15,622 ||> 15,458 ||> 15,664 ||> 15,192 ||> 14,793 ||> 14,422 ||> 14,183 ||> 14,216 ||> 14,525 ||> 14,536 ||> 14,539 ||> 14,679 ||= +
-||~ **Ʃ over-all** ||~ 563,099 ||~ 624,978 ||~ 674,326 ||~ 692,331 ||~ 696,952 ||~ 704,114 ||~ 700,974 ||~ 707,602 ||~ 713,608 ||~ 724,856 ||~ 725,602 ||~ 731,550 ||~ 743,074 ||~ 755,314 ||~ 765,608 ||~ 774,207 ||~ 777,707 ||= +
-source: TREMOD 6.02 [((bibcite 1))]+
  
-++ Images: Overview annual mileage for considered vehicle types +===== Discussion of emission trends =====
-[[gallery size="medium"]] +
-: AD_Mileage.png  +
-: AD_Mileage_el.png  +
-[[/gallery]]+
  
-+ __Discussion of emission trends__+> Please see sub-category chapters [[sector:energy:fuel_combustion:transport:road_transport:abrasive_emissions_from_road_vehicles:tyre_and_brake_wear| 1.A.3.b vi - Automobile Tyre and Brake Wear ]] and [[sector:energy:fuel_combustion:transport:road_transport:abrasive_emissions_from_road_vehicles:road_abrasion| 1.A.3.b vii - Automobile Road Abrasion ]].
  
-> Please see sub-category chapters [[[1-a-3-b-vi-emissions-from-tyre-and-brake-wear | 1.A.3.b vi - Tyre and Brake Wear ]]] and [[[1-a-3-b-vii-emissions-from-road-abrasion | 1.A.3.b vii - Road Abrasion ]]]. 
  
-+ __Recalculations__ +===== Recalculations =====
- +
-Recalculations were carried out due to a fundamental revision of the TREMOD software. +
- +
-__Table 2: Revised mileage data , in 10^^6^^ kilometers__ +
-|| ||= **1990** ||= **1995** ||= **2000** ||= **2005** ||= **2006** ||= **2007** ||= **2008** ||= **2009** ||= **2010** ||= **2011** ||= **2012** ||= **2013** ||= **2014** ||= **2015** ||= **2016** ||= **2017** ||= +
-||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||= **Passenger Cars** ||> +
-||~ Submission 2020 ||> 488,574 ||> 530,900 ||> 560,300 ||> 574,776 ||> 580,455 ||> 584,060 ||> 581,068 ||> 591,437 ||> 595,363 ||> 605,066 ||> 606,373 ||> 611,439 ||> 622,067 ||> 629,516 ||> 636,701 ||> 642,254 ||> +
-||~ Submission 2019 ||> 492,280 ||> 535,524 ||> 565,345 ||> 580,075 ||> 581,651 ||> 585,242 ||> 582,199 ||> 592,595 ||> 596,536 ||> 606,237 ||> 607,522 ||> 612,576 ||> 624,573 ||> 637,014 ||> 650,866 ||> 659,589 ||> +
-||~ absolute change ||> -3,706 ||> -4,624 ||> -5,045 ||> -5,300 ||> -1,197 ||> -1,181 ||> -1,131 ||> -1,158 ||> -1,173 ||> -1,170 ||> -1,148 ||> -1,137 ||> -2,506 ||> -7,498 ||> -14,166 ||> -17,335 ||> +
-||~ relative change ||> -0,75% ||> -0,86% ||> -0,89% ||> -0,91% ||> -0,21% ||> -0,20% ||> -0,19% ||> -0,20% ||> -0,20% ||> -0,19% ||> -0,19% ||> -0,19% ||> -0,40% ||> -1,18% ||> -2,18% ||> -2,63% ||> +
-||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||= **Light Duty Vehicles** ||> +
-||~ Submission 2020 ||> 17,964 ||> 27,917 ||> 36,585 ||> 41,203 ||> 37,802 ||> 38,927 ||> 39,282 ||> 39,748 ||> 40,218 ||> 40,694 ||> 41,178 ||> 41,669 ||> 42,056 ||> 45,639 ||> 47,752 ||> 49,912 ||> +
-||~ Submission 2019 ||> 14,259 ||> 21,794 ||> 30,941 ||> 36,251 ||> 36,855 ||> 37,847 ||> 37,461 ||> 37,429 ||> 37,583 ||> 38,204 ||> 38,732 ||> 38,966 ||> 39,343 ||> 40,962 ||> 40,938 ||> 41,596 ||> +
-||~ absolute change ||> 3,706 ||> 6,124 ||> 5,645 ||> 4,953 ||> 947 ||> 1,080 ||> 1,821 ||> 2,319 ||> 2,635 ||> 2,490 ||> 2,446 ||> 2,703 ||> 2,713 ||> 4,677 ||> 6,814 ||> 8,317 ||> +
-||~ relative change ||> 26,0% ||> 28,1% ||> 18,2% ||> 13,7% ||> 2,57% ||> 2,85% ||> 4,86% ||> 6,20% ||> 7,01% ||> 6,52% ||> 6,31% ||> 6,94% ||> 6,89% ||> 11,4% ||> 16,6% ||> 20,0% ||> +
-||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||= **HDVs: Trucks** ||> +
-||~ Submission 2020 ||> 36,657 ||> 50,362 ||> 58,621 ||> 56,877 ||> 59,374 ||> 61,483 ||> 61,244 ||> 56,751 ||> 58,799 ||> 60,312 ||> 59,648 ||> 60,204 ||> 60,553 ||> 61,408 ||> 62,353 ||> 63,311 ||> +
-||~ Submission 2019 ||> 36,657 ||> 48,951 ||> 55,441 ||> 54,213 ||> 56,159 ||> 57,873 ||> 57,819 ||> 53,974 ||> 56,418 ||> 58,171 ||> 56,785 ||> 57,167 ||> 58,482 ||> 59,398 ||> 60,858 ||> 61,489 ||> +
-||~ absolute change ||> 0 ||> 1,412 ||> 3,180 ||> 2,664 ||> 3,214 ||> 3,610 ||> 3,425 ||> 2,776 ||> 2,380 ||> 2,141 ||> 2,863 ||> 3,038 ||> 2,071 ||> 2,010 ||> 1,495 ||> 1,822 ||> +
-||~ relative change ||> 0,00% ||> 2,88% ||> 5,73% ||> 4,91% ||> 5,72% ||> 6,24% ||> 5,92% ||> 5,14% ||> 4,22% ||> 3,68% ||> 5,04% ||> 5,31% ||> 3,54% ||> 3,38% ||> 2,46% ||> 2,96% ||> +
-||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||= **HDVs: Buses** ||> +
-||~ Submission 2020 ||> 4,170 ||> 3,948 ||> 4,003 ||> 4,076 ||> 4,028 ||> 4,022 ||> 3,922 ||> 4,002 ||> 4,037 ||> 3,991 ||> 3,981 ||> 4,055 ||> 4,182 ||> 4,227 ||> 4,267 ||> 4,190 ||> +
-||~ Submission 2019 ||> 4,170 ||> 4,216 ||> 4,138 ||> 3,936 ||> 3,938 ||> 3,826 ||> 3,736 ||> 3,751 ||> 3,751 ||> 3,729 ||> 3,751 ||> 3,729 ||> 3,718 ||> 3,709 ||> 3,735 ||> 3,741 ||> +
-||~ absolute change ||> 0 ||> -268 ||> -134 ||> 140 ||> 90 ||> 196 ||> 186 ||> 250 ||> 286 ||> 262 ||> 230 ||> 326 ||> 463 ||> 517 ||> 531 ||> 449 ||> +
-||~ relative change ||> 0,00% ||> -6,36% ||> -3,25% ||> 3,56% ||> 2,27% ||> 5,13% ||> 4,98% ||> 6,66% ||> 7,61% ||> 7,03% ||> 6,12% ||> 8,74% ||> 12,5% ||> 13,9% ||> 14,2% ||> 12,0% ||> +
-||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||= **Motorcycles & Mopeds** ||> +
-||~ Submission 2020 ||> 15,734 ||> 11,851 ||> 14,816 ||> 15,399 ||> 15,294 ||> 15,622 ||> 15,458 ||> 15,664 ||> 15,192 ||> 14,793 ||> 14,422 ||> 14,183 ||> 14,216 ||> 14,525 ||> 14,536 ||> 14,539 ||> +
-||~ Submission 2019 ||> 15,734 ||> 12,615 ||> 15,100 ||> 16,800 ||> 17,288 ||> 14,904 ||> 15,322 ||> 15,753 ||> 15,786 ||> 16,208 ||> 16,421 ||> 16,539 ||> 16,801 ||> 16,801 ||> 16,539 ||> 16,539 ||> +
-||~ absolute change ||> 0 ||> -764 ||> -284 ||> -1,401 ||> -1,994 ||> 718 ||> 136 ||> -89 ||> -594 ||> -1,415 ||> -2,000 ||> -2,355 ||> -2,585 ||> -2,277 ||> -2,003 ||> -1,999 ||> +
-||~ relative change ||> 0,00% ||> -6,06% ||> -1,88% ||> -8,34% ||> -11,53% ||> 4,81% ||> 0,88% ||> -0,56% ||> -3,76% ||> -8,73% ||> -12,2% ||> -14,2% ||> -15,4% ||> -13,6% ||> -12,1% ||> -12,1% ||> +
-||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||= **TOTAL* ||> +
-||~ Submission 2020 ||> 563,099 ||> 624,978 ||> 674,326 ||> 692,331 ||> 696,952 ||> 704,114 ||> 700,974 ||> 707,602 ||> 713,608 ||> 724,856 ||> 725,602 ||> 731,550 ||> 743,074 ||> 755,314 ||> 765,608 ||> 774,207 ||> +
-||~ Submission 2019 ||> 563,099 ||> 623,099 ||> 670,965 ||> 691,275 ||> 695,892 ||> 699,691 ||> 696,537 ||> 703,503 ||> 710,075 ||> 722,549 ||> 723,212 ||> 728,976 ||> 742,918 ||> 757,885 ||> 772,936 ||> 782,954 ||> +
-||~ absolute change ||> 0 ||> 1,879 ||> 3,361 ||> 1,056 ||> 1,060 ||> 4,422 ||> 4,437 ||> 4,099 ||> 3,534 ||> 2,307 ||> 2,390 ||> 2,575 ||> 156 ||> -2,570 ||> -7,328 ||> -8,746 ||> +
-||~ relative change ||> 0,00% ||> 0,30% ||> 0,50% ||> 0,15% ||> 0,15% ||> 0,63% ||> 0,64% ||> 0,58% ||> 0,50% ||> 0,32% ||> 0,33% ||> 0,35% ||> 0,02% ||> -0,34% ||> -0,95% ||> -1,12% ||> +
- +
-For changes in the **emission factors** applied, please refer to the sub-ordinate chapters on **tyre and brake wear** and **road abrasion**. +
- +
-**Emission estimates** +
- +
-<WRAP center round info 60%> +
-For more information on recalculated emission estimates for Base Year and 2018, please see the pollutant specific recalculation tables following chapter [[general:recalculations:start | 8.1 - Recalculations]]. +
-</WRAP>+
  
 +With both **activity data** and **emission factors** unrevised, emission estimates remain unaltered compared to last year's submission.
  
 ===== Planned improvements ===== ===== Planned improvements =====
Line 103: Line 40:
 Besides the **routine revision of the TREMOD model**, no specific improvements are planned.  Besides the **routine revision of the TREMOD model**, no specific improvements are planned. 
  
-===== FAQs ===== +[(KNOERR2021a> Knörr et al. (2021a): Knörr, W., Heidt, C., Gores, S., & Bergk, F.: ifeu Institute for Energy and Environmental Research (Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg gGmbH, ifeu): Fortschreibung des Daten- und Rechenmodells: Energieverbrauch und Schadstoffemissionen des motorisierten Verkehrs in Deutschland 1960-2035, sowie TREMOD, im Auftrag des Umweltbundesamtes, Heidelberg & Berlin, 2021.)]. 
- +[(EMEPEEA2019> EMEP/EEA, 2019: EMEP/EEA air pollutant emission inventory guidebook – 2019)]
------- +
- +
-[[bibliography]] +
-: 1 : Knörr et al. (2019a): Knörr, W., Heidt, C., Gores, S., & Bergk, F.: ifeu Institute for Energy and Environmental Research (Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg gGmbH, ifeu): Fortschreibung des Daten- und Rechenmodells: Energieverbrauch und Schadstoffemissionen des motorisierten Verkehrs in Deutschland 1960-2030, sowie TREMOD, im Auftrag des Umweltbundesamtes, Heidelberg & Berlin, 2019. +
-: 2 : EMEP/EEA, 2019: EMEP/EEA air pollutant emission inventory guidebook – 2019 +
-[[/bibliography]]+