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1.A.3.a i (i) - International Civil Aviation: LTO
Short description
In NFR category 1.A.3.a i (i) - International Civil Aviation: LTO emissions during LTO stage (Landing/Take-off: 0-3,000 feet) are reported. In the following, information on sub-category specific AD, (implied) emission factors and emission estimates are provided.
Category Code | Method | AD | EF | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1.A.3.a.i.(i) | T1, T2, T3 | NS, M | CS, D, M | ||||||||||||
NOx | NMVOC | SO2 | NHx | PM2.5 | PM10 | TSP | BC | CO | PB | Cd | Hg | Diox | PAH | HCB | |
Key Category: | -/- | -/- | -/- | -/- | -/- | -/- | -/- | -/- | -/- | -/- | -/- | -/- | - | -/- | - |
Methodology
Actitvity Data
Specific jet kerosene consumption during LTO-stage is calculated within TREMOD AV as described in the main chapter on civil aviation.
Table 1: Percentual annual fuel consumption during LTO-stage of international flights
1990 | 1995 | 2000 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | |
Jet Kerosene | 8.17 | 7.80 | 8.19 | 8.00 | 7.97 | 7.95 | 7.91 | 7.86 | 7.90 | 7.81 | 7.92 | 7.98 | 7.98 | 8.09 | 8.11 | 8.13 | 8.18 | 8.24 | 7.88 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aviation Gasoline | 3.35 | 3.39 | 3.44 | 3.44 | 3.39 | 3.45 | 3.38 | 3.47 | 3.56 | 3.43 | 3.47 | 3.46 | 3.78 | 3.53 | 6.19 | 6.16 | 6.71 | 6.89 | 7.35 |
source: Knörr et al. (2021c) 1) &: Gores (2021) 2)
Table 2: annual LTO fuel consumption for international flights, in terajoule
1990 | 1995 | 2000 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | |
Jet Kerosene | 13,252 | 16,012 | 21,465 | 24,860 | 26,063 | 26,992 | 27,184 | 26,249 | 26,115 | 24,796 | 27,036 | 27,726 | 26,778 | 27,115 | 29,304 | 32,205 | 33,340 | 33,309 | 14,645 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aviation Gasoline | 17.1 | 7.41 | 7.83 | 5.29 | 5.13 | 4.91 | 4.82 | 4.52 | 4.58 | 3.75 | 3.51 | 3.10 | 2.98 | 3.61 | 2.38 | 2.39 | 2.32 | 1.73 | 0.96 |
13,269 | 16,019 | 21,473 | 24,865 | 26,068 | 26,997 | 27,189 | 26,253 | 26,120 | 24,800 | 27,039 | 27,729 | 26,781 | 27,119 | 29,306 | 32,208 | 33,342 | 33,311 | 14,646 |
Emission factors
All country specific emission factors used for emission reporting were basically ascertained within UBA project FKZ 360 16 029 (Knörr, W., Schacht, A., & Gores, S. (2010)) 5) and have since then been compiled, revised and maintained in TREMOD AV 6).
For more information, please see superordinate chapter on civil aviation.
Table 2: Annual country-specific emission factors, in kg/TJ
1990 | 1995 | 2000 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JET KEROSENE | |||||||||||||||||||
NH3 | 3.98 | 3.95 | 3.95 | 3.97 | 3.97 | 3.97 | 3.97 | 3.97 | 3.97 | 3.97 | 3.97 | 3.97 | 3.97 | 3.97 | 3.97 | 3.97 | 3.97 | 3.97 | 3.97 |
NMVOC | 59.7 | 36.1 | 25.7 | 22.9 | 22.9 | 22.5 | 22.0 | 21.2 | 21.2 | 20.8 | 20.5 | 20.3 | 19.9 | 20.5 | 20.2 | 20.8 | 21.4 | 19.4 | 19.2 |
NOx | 297 | 306 | 303 | 324 | 325 | 330 | 331 | 338 | 342 | 345 | 346 | 349 | 353 | 352 | 357 | 358 | 355 | 358 | 368 |
SOx | 19.7 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 |
BC1 | 1.78 | 1.63 | 1.45 | 1.37 | 1.33 | 1.28 | 1.25 | 1.23 | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.15 | 1.14 | 1.13 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.08 | 1.08 |
PM2 | 3.71 | 3.40 | 3.02 | 2.86 | 2.76 | 2.66 | 2.60 | 2.56 | 2.52 | 2.49 | 2.46 | 2.44 | 2.40 | 2.38 | 2.35 | 2.33 | 2.33 | 2.25 | 2.26 |
CO | 249 | 227 | 236 | 219 | 217 | 211 | 209 | 203 | 203 | 199 | 199 | 197 | 194 | 196 | 192 | 192 | 195 | 187 | 185 |
AVIATION GASOLINE | |||||||||||||||||||
NH3 | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE |
NMVOC | 459 | 484 | 466 | 469 | 455 | 456 | 460 | 475 | 470 | 521 | 514 | 515 | 521 | 514 | 495 | 494 | 528 | 547 | 540 |
NOx | 73.1 | 68.7 | 71.7 | 71.7 | 73.6 | 71.5 | 70.6 | 66.4 | 66.1 | 56.0 | 55.9 | 57.6 | 60.1 | 55.9 | 53.7 | 53.3 | 52.5 | 55.7 | 53.5 |
SOx | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 |
BC1 | 9.05 | 9.59 | 9.33 | 9.59 | 9.21 | 9.48 | 9.44 | 10.2 | 10.3 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 10.4 | 11.3 | 11.3 | 11.0 | 11.9 | 11.2 | 11.5 |
PM2 | 60.3 | 64.0 | 62.2 | 64.0 | 61.4 | 63.2 | 63.0 | 67.8 | 68.6 | 73.5 | 73.4 | 72.7 | 69.2 | 75.5 | 75.6 | 73.4 | 79.1 | 74.8 | 76.6 |
TSP3 | 75.5 | 79.1 | 77.4 | 79.1 | 76.6 | 78.4 | 78.1 | 83.0 | 83.8 | 88.7 | 88.5 | 87.9 | 84.3 | 90.7 | 90.8 | 88.5 | 94.3 | 89.9 | 91.8 |
CO | 20,188 | 20,764 | 20,440 | 20,152 | 20,057 | 20,400 | 20,612 | 21,105 | 21,199 | 22,662 | 22,769 | 22,422 | 22,168 | 22,650 | 23,205 | 23,427 | 23,210 | 22,875 | 23,285 |
1 estimated via a f-BCs (avgas: 0.15, jet kerosene: 0.48) as provided in 7)
2 EF(PM,,2.5,,) also applied for PM,,10,, and TSP (assumption: > 99% of TSP from diesel oil combustion consists of PM,,2.5,,)
3 also including TSP from lead: EF(TSP) = 1.6 x EF(Pb) - see road transport
For the country-specific emission factors applied for particulate matter, no clear indication is available, whether or not condensables are included.
Discussion of emission trends
NFR 1.A.3.a i (i) - International Civil Aviation - LTO is no key category.
Recalculations
As mentioned in the superordinate chapter on 1.A.3.a, the LTO fuel consumptions applied in TREMOD AV have been adapted to Eurocontrol AEM model and the underlying fleet composition.
Hence, the percentual annual shares of kerosene consumed during L/TO for international flights have been re-estimated…
Table 3: Revised percentual share of kerosene and avgas consumed during L/TO for international flights, in %
1990 | 1995 | 2000 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JET KEROSENE | ||||||||||||||||||
Submission 2022 | 8.17 | 7.80 | 8.19 | 8.00 | 7.97 | 7.95 | 7.91 | 7.86 | 7.90 | 7.81 | 7.92 | 7.98 | 7.98 | 8.09 | 8.11 | 8.13 | 8.18 | 8.24 |
Submission 2021 | 8.17 | 7.80 | 8.19 | 8.00 | 7.97 | 7.95 | 7.91 | 7.86 | 7.90 | 7.81 | 7.92 | 7.98 | 7.98 | 8.09 | 8.11 | 8.13 | 8.18 | 8.15 |
absolute change | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
relative change | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.14% |
AVGAS | ||||||||||||||||||
Submission 2022 | 3.35 | 3.39 | 3.44 | 3.44 | 3.39 | 3.45 | 3.38 | 3.47 | 3.56 | 3.43 | 3.47 | 3.46 | 3.78 | 3.53 | 6.19 | 6.16 | 6.71 | 6.89 |
Submission 2021 | 5.24 | 11.8 | 11.1 | 19.1 | 20.5 | 23.2 | 20.4 | 20.2 | 19.8 | 17.3 | 19.1 | 22.2 | 26.3 | 20.8 | 42.2 | 43.7 | 51.4 | 61.6 |
absolute change | -1.89 | -8.44 | -7.62 | -15.7 | -17.1 | -19.8 | -17.0 | -16.7 | -16.2 | -13.9 | -15.7 | -18.8 | -22.5 | -17.3 | -36.0 | -37.5 | -44.7 | -54.8 |
relative change | -36.1% | -71.3% | -68.9% | -82.0% | -83.5% | -85.1% | -83.4% | -82.8% | -82.0% | -80.2% | -81.9% | -84.4% | -85.6% | -83.0% | -85.3% | -85.9% | -87.0% | -88.8% |
… and the amounts of kerosene allocated to sub-category 1.A.3.a i (i) were revised accordingly:
Table 4: Revised fuel-use in 1.A.3.a i (i), in terajoules
1990 | 1995 | 2000 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JET KEROSENE | ||||||||||||||||||
Submission 2022 | 13,252 | 16,012 | 21,465 | 24,860 | 26,063 | 26,992 | 27,184 | 26,249 | 26,115 | 24,796 | 27,036 | 27,726 | 26,778 | 27,115 | 29,304 | 32,205 | 33,340 | 33,309 |
Submission 2021 | 13,252 | 16,012 | 21,465 | 24,860 | 26,063 | 26,992 | 27,184 | 26,249 | 26,115 | 24,796 | 27,036 | 27,726 | 26,778 | 27,115 | 29,304 | 32,205 | 33,340 | 32,948 |
absolute change | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 361 |
relative change | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.10% |
AVGAS | ||||||||||||||||||
Submission 2022 | 17.1 | 7.41 | 7.83 | 5.29 | 5.13 | 4.91 | 4.82 | 4.52 | 4.58 | 3.75 | 3.51 | 3.10 | 2.98 | 3.61 | 2.38 | 2.39 | 2.32 | 1.73 |
Submission 2021 | 25.7 | 21.6 | 21.5 | 21.7 | 22.5 | 23.2 | 21.1 | 19.2 | 19.0 | 14.3 | 14.3 | 13.9 | 14.2 | 15.3 | 11.8 | 12.5 | 12.8 | 10.5 |
absolute change | -8.55 | -14.2 | -13.7 | -16.4 | -17.3 | -18.3 | -16.3 | -14.7 | -14.4 | -10.5 | -10.8 | -10.8 | -11.2 | -11.7 | -9.46 | -10.1 | -10.5 | -8.79 |
relative change | -33.3% | -65.7% | -63.7% | -75.6% | -77.2% | -78.8% | -77.2% | -76.4% | -75.8% | -73.8% | -75.4% | -77.7% | -79.0% | -76.5% | -79.9% | -81.0% | -81.9% | -83.5% |
In parallel, the majority of country-specific emission factors has been revised within TREMOD AV based on information available from the Eurocontrol's AEM model, taking into account the development of fleet composition and engine technology but cannot be displayed here in a proper way.
For pollutant-specific information on recalculated emission estimates for Base Year and 2019, please see the recalculation tables following chapter 8.1 - Recalculations.
Uncertainties
For uncertainties information, please see main chapter on civil aviation.
Planned improvements
For information on planned improvements, please see main chapter on civil aviation.