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sector:energy:fuel_combustion:transport:navigation:international_maritime_navigation [2021/04/09 13:00] kotzullasector:energy:fuel_combustion:transport:navigation:international_maritime_navigation [2022/03/22 12:08] (current) – [Recalculations] kotzulla
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 ^ Category Code    Method                                                                  ||||^  AD                               ||||^  EF                                       ||||| ^ Category Code    Method                                                                  ||||^  AD                               ||||^  EF                                       |||||
 | 1.A.3.d i (i)  |  T1, T2, T3                                                              |||||  NS, M                            |||||  CS, M                                 ||||| | 1.A.3.d i (i)  |  T1, T2, T3                                                              |||||  NS, M                            |||||  CS, M                                 |||||
-^  Key Category   ^  SO₂                                        ^  NOₓ   NH₃   NMVOC  ^  CO  ^  BC     ^  Pb  ^  Hg  ^  Cd  ^  Diox  ^  PAH       ^  HCB  ^  TSP  ^  PM₁₀   PM₂ ₅  ^+^  Key Category  ^  SO<sub>2</sub>     ^  NO<sub>x</sub>   NH<sub>3</sub>   NMVOC  ^  CO   ^  BC   ^  Pb   ^  Hg   ^  Cd   ^  Diox  ^  PAH  ^  HCB  ^  TSP  ^  PM<sub>10</sub>   PM<sub>2.5</sub>  ^
 | 1.A.3.d i (i)  |  //not included in key category analysis//                                                                                                             ||||||||||||||| | 1.A.3.d i (i)  |  //not included in key category analysis//                                                                                                             |||||||||||||||
  
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 \\ \\
- 
  
 ===== Methodology ===== ===== Methodology =====
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 ==== Activity data ==== ==== Activity data ====
  
-Primary fuel delivery data (primary activity data, PAD) for //international maritime navigation// is included in line 6 - 'International Deep-Sea Bunkers' of the National Energy Balances (NEB) (AGEB, 2019) [((bibcite 1))] together with respective data for IMO-registered ships used in //national maritime transport// (see [[[1-a-3-d-ii-a-national-maritime-navigation | 1.A.3.d ii (a) ]]]), //fishing// (see [[[1-a-4-c-iii-fishing-mobile | 1.A.4.c iii ]]]) and //military navigation// (see [[[1-a-5-b-iii-emissions-from-military-navigation | 1.A.5.b iii ]]]).+Primary fuel delivery data (primary activity data, PAD) for //international maritime navigation// is included in line 6 - 'International Deep-Sea Bunkers' of the National Energy Balances (NEB) (AGEB, 2021) [(AGEB2021)] together with respective data for IMO-registered ships used in //national maritime transport// (see 1.A.3.d ii (a)), //fishing// (see NFR 1.A.4.c iii) and //military navigation// (see NFR 1.A.5.b iii).
  
 The AD applied for //international maritime navigation// therefore represents the remains of primary fuel delivery data from NEB line 6 minus the modelled consumption data estimated for non-IMO ships in //1.A.3.d ii (a)//, //1.A.4.c iii// and //1.A.5.b iii//: The AD applied for //international maritime navigation// therefore represents the remains of primary fuel delivery data from NEB line 6 minus the modelled consumption data estimated for non-IMO ships in //1.A.3.d ii (a)//, //1.A.4.c iii// and //1.A.5.b iii//:
  
-    +| <WRAP left round info 100%>  AD<sub>1.A.3.d i</sub> = PAD<sub>NEB line 6</sub> - AD<sub>1.A.3.d ii (a) - IMO</sub>  - AD<sub>1.A.4.c iii - IMO</sub> - AD<sub>1.A.5.b iii - IMO</sub>  </WRAP>  | with \\   * AD<sub>1.A.3.d i</sub> - tier1 activity data for International maritime navigation\\   * PAD<sub>NEB line 6</sub> - primary over-all fuel deliveries data from NEB line 6 - 'International Maritime Bunkers'\\   * AD<sub>1.A.3.d ii (a) - IMO</sub> - tier3 activity data for IMO-registered ships involved in national maritime navigation\\   * AD<sub>1.A.4.c iii - IMO</sub> - tier3 activity data for IMO-registered ships involved in national fishing\\   * AD<sub>1.A.5.b iii - IMO</sub> - tier3 activity data for IMO-registered ships involved in military navigation  |
-    |+
  
-<WRAP left round info 50%> +As result, activity data can fluctuate strongly from year to year
-AD<sub>1.A.3.d i</sub> = PAD<sub>NEB line 6</sub> - AD<sub>1.A.3.d ii (a) - IMO</sub>  - AD<sub>1.A.4.c iii - IMO</sub> - AD<sub>1.A.5.b iii - IMO</sub> +
-</WRAP>+
  
-\\ +However, this effect can be explained with the fact that large ocean-going ships do not need to bunker fuels on every single harbour but can go on for weeks without any additional fuel uptake.  
-\\ + 
-\\ +This can be further increased with increasing differences in fuel prices
-  +
-with   +
-  * AD<sub>1.A.3.d i</sub> tier1 activity data for International maritime navigation +
-  * PAD<sub>NEB line 6</sub> - primary over-all fuel deliveries data from NEB line 6 - 'International Maritime Bunkers' +
-  * AD<sub>1.A.3.d ii (a) - IMO</sub> - tier3 activity data for IMO-registered ships involved in national maritime navigation +
-  * AD<sub>1.A.4.c iii - IMO</sub> - tier3 activity data for IMO-registered ships involved in national fishing +
-  * AD<sub>1.A.5.b iii - IMO</sub> - tier3 activity data for IMO-registered ships involved in military navigation+
  
 __Table 1: Annual fuel consumption, in terajoules__ __Table 1: Annual fuel consumption, in terajoules__
-                    **1990**  |  **1995**  |  **2000**  |  **2005**  |  **2006**  |  **2007**  |  **2008**  |  **2009**  |  **2010**  |  **2011**  |  **2012**  |  **2013**  |  **2014**  |  **2015**  |  **2016**  |  **2017**  |  **2018**  |  **2019**  | +                  1990   ^  1995   ^  2000   ^  2005   ^  2006   ^  2007     2008     2009     2010     2011     2012   ^  2013   ^  2014   ^  2015   ^  2016     2017   ^  2018   ^  2019   ^  2020   ^ 
-^ Diesel Oil             12.748     12.919     13.664     11.993     15.817     17.524     13.105     14.412     16.662     15.370     12.594     12.414     13.674     33.088     28.093     22.924     15.213     18.327 +^ Diesel Oil        13,162  13,096  13,709  11,820  15,629   12,954    8,075   14,095   16,417   15,020  12,181  11,875  13,801  33,958   32,832  27,463  21,473  20,231 |  13,896 
-^ Heavy fuel oil         68.484     56.323     60.984     78.182     78.257     96.625     96.017     85.865     86.934     86.687     81.171     71.364     67.670 |     57.850     74.837     58.781     39.380     26.601 +^ Heavy fuel oil    76,942  62,066  67,080  83,224  83,164  101,820  101,466   90,542   91,169   90,779  85,586  75,559 |  71,598  57,792   74,807  58,707  39,308  26,565 |  32,253 
-| **Ʃ 1.A.3.d ii**       81.232     69.242     74.648     90.175     94.074    114.149    109.122    100.277    103.596    102.057     93.765     83.778     81.344     90.938    102.930     81.705     54.592     44.928 +| **Ʃ 1.A.3.d i**   90,104  75,162  80,789  95,044  98,793  114,774  109,542  104,637  107,586  105,799  97,768  87,434  85,398  91,750  107,639  86,169  60,781  46,796 ^  46,150 
-source: own estimates based on [(DEICHNIK2020)]+source: own estimates based on underlying BSH model (Deichnik, K. (2021)) [(DEICHNIK2021)]
  
 Consumption of heavy oil has been increasing since 1984 as a result of high petroleum prices, global increases in transports and increasing maritime use of diesel engines that can run on heavy oil. The emissions fluctuations that occurred in the navigation sector in 1992 and 1996 were caused by trade and oil crises. Consumption of heavy oil has been increasing since 1984 as a result of high petroleum prices, global increases in transports and increasing maritime use of diesel engines that can run on heavy oil. The emissions fluctuations that occurred in the navigation sector in 1992 and 1996 were caused by trade and oil crises.
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 Furthermore, after 2014, with ever stricter legislation espacially regarding fuel sulphur content, an ongoing shift from heavy fuel oil to maritime diesel oil can be observed. Furthermore, after 2014, with ever stricter legislation espacially regarding fuel sulphur content, an ongoing shift from heavy fuel oil to maritime diesel oil can be observed.
  
-=== Emission factors === +{{ :sector:energy:fuel_combustion:transport:navigation:1a3di_ad.png?700 }}
  
-For **main pollutants** and **particulate matter**, modelled emission factors are available from (Deichnik, K. (2020)) [(DEICHNIK2020)]+==== Emission factors ====  
 + 
 +For **main pollutants** and **particulate matter**, modelled emission factors are available from (Deichnik, K. (2021)). 
  
 Here, for **sulphur dioxide** and **particulate matter**, annual values are available representing the impact of fuel sulphur legislation. Here, for **sulphur dioxide** and **particulate matter**, annual values are available representing the impact of fuel sulphur legislation.
-In addition, regarding SO,,x,,, the increasing operation of so-called scrubbers in order to fullfil emission limits especially within SECA areas is reflected for heavy fuel oil.+In addition, regarding SO<sub>2</sub>, the increasing operation of so-called scrubbers in order to fullfil emission limits especially within SECA areas is reflected for heavy fuel oil.
  
 __Table 2: Annual country-specific emission factors, in kg/TJ__ __Table 2: Annual country-specific emission factors, in kg/TJ__
-|                      **1990**   **1995**   **2000**   **2005**   **2006**   **2007**   **2008**   **2009**   **2010**   **2011**   **2012**   **2013**   **2014**  | **2015**  | **2016**  | **2017**  | **2018**  | **2019**  | +|                      1990   1995   2000   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014  ^  2015  ^  2016  ^  2017  ^  2018  ^  2019  ^  2020  ^ 
-| **DIESEL OIL**                                                                                                                                                                             |||||||||||||||                                         +| **DIESEL OIL**                                                                                                                      |||||||||||||||                                    
-^ NH<sub>3</sub>      |       0,32 |       0,32 |       0,32 |       0,32 |       0,32 |       0,32 |       0,32 |       0,32 |       0,32 |       0,32 |       0,32 |       0,32 |       0,32 |      0,33      0,32 |      0,32 |      0,32 |      0,32 | +^ NH<sub>3</sub>      |   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32 |   0.32 | 
-^ NMVOC                     48,7       48,7       48,7       48,7       48,7       48,7       48,7       48,7       48,7       48,7       48,7 |       48,4 |       48,0      44,8 |      44,7      45,|      45,2 |      45,2 +^ NMVOC                 48.5   48.4   48.4   48.4   48.4   48.4   48.4   48.4   48.4   48.4   48.4 |   47.7 |   44.9 |   44.4 |   43.9   44.2 |   43.8 |   44.0   44.0 | 
-^ NO<sub>x</sub>      |      1.070      1.070      1.070      1.070      1.070      1.070      1.070      1.069      1.069      1.069      1.069      1.073      1.077     1.151     1.132     1.157     1.128     1.128 +^ NO<sub>x</sub>      |  1,101  1,101  1,101  1,101  1,101  1,101  1,101  1,101  1,101  1,101  1,119  1,126  1,155  1,184  1,183  1,189  1,200  1,199 |  1,169 
-^ SO<sub>x</sub>      |      465,     419,0      232,     186,2      186,2      186,2      139,      69,8 |       69,8 |       65,2 |       54,5       52,6       50,5      40,     40,     40,     40,     40,+^ SO<sub>x</sub>      |    466    419 |    233    186 |    186 |    186 |    140   69.8 |   69.8 |   65.2 |   54.8   52.9   51.1   37.2   37.2   37.2   37.2   37.2 |   37.2 
-^ BC<sup>1</sup>      |      109,      98,6       54,7       43,8       43,8       43,8       32,8       16,4       16,4       15,4 |       15,3 |       15,2       15,2      16,     16,     16,     16,5 |      16,5 +^ BC<sup>1</sup>      |    110   99.1   55.0   44.0   44.1   44.1   33.0   16.5   16.5   15.5 |   15.4 |   15.3 |   15.3   17.4   17.7   17.7   17.3   17.5 |   16.8 
-^ PM<sub>2.5</sub>    |      352,     318,     176,     141,     141,3 |      141,3 |      105,9 |       53,      53,      49,      49,      49,1 |       49,1 |      52,     54,5 |      54,5 |      53,1 |      53,1 +^ PM<sub>2.5</sub>    |    354    320    177    142    142 |    142 |    106 |   53,3 |   53,3 |   49,9 |   49,  49,  49,  56,  57,1 |   57,1 |   55,  56,5 |   54,
-^ PM<sub>10</sub>          377,     340,     188,     151,     151,     151,     113,      56,      56,      53,      53,      52,      52,     56,     58,     58,     56,     56,+^ PM<sub>10</sub>        378    342    190    152    152    152    114   57,  57,  53,  53,  52,  52,  60,  61,  61,  59,  60,4 |   58,
-^ TSP<sup>2</sup>          377,     340,     188,     151,     151,     151,     113,      56,      56,      53,      53,      52,      52,     56,     58,     58,     56,     56,+^ TSP<sup>2</sup>        378    342    190    152    152    152    114   57,  57,  53,  53,  52,  52,  60,  61,  61,  59,  60,4 |   58,
-^ CO                  |        127        128 |        128 |        128 |        128 |        128 |        128 |        128 |        128 |        128 |        128 |        127        128       134       139 |       138       136 |       136 +^ CO                  |    128    128 |    128 |    128 |    128 |    128 |    128 |    128 |    128 |    129 |    128 |    128 |    130    140    142    141 |    139 |    140    138 
-| **HEAVY FUEL OIL**                                                                                                                                                                         |||||||||||||||                                         +| **HEAVY FUEL OIL**                                                                                                                  |||||||||||||||                                    
-^ NH<sub>3</sub>      |       0,34       0,34       0,34       0,34       0,34       0,34       0,34       0,34       0,34       0,34       0,34       0,34 |       0,35      0,33      0,33      0,34 |      0,35      0,35 +^ NH<sub>3</sub>      |   0.33   0.33   0.33   0.33   0.33   0.33   0.33   0.33   0.33   0.33   0.33   0.33 |   0.34 |   0.34   0.34   0.34   0.34 |   0.34   0.34 
-^ NMVOC                     36,6       36,6       36,6       36,6       36,6       36,6       36,6       36,6       36,6       36,6       36,6       37,6 |       37,8      30,0      36,     30,     28,     28,+^ NMVOC                 43.0   42.8   42.9   42.9   42.8   42.8   42.9   42.8   42.8   42.7   42.8   41.6 |   42.3   26.1 |   30.2   33.7   32.5   32.7   37.4 
-^ NO<sub>x</sub>      |      1.379      1.378      1.378      1.378      1.378      1.378      1.378      1.378      1.378      1.377      1.379      1.382      1.393     1.348     1.245     1.360     1.503     1.503 +^ NO<sub>x</sub>      |  1,368  1,368  1,368  1,368  1,368  1,368  1,368  1,367  1,368  1,367  1,367  1,384  1,433  1,487  1,440  1,479  1,480  1,507 |  1,509 
-^ SO<sub>x</sub>      |      1.319 |      1.332 |      1.323 |      1.336 |        744 |        742 |        742 |        744 |        496 |        496 |        496 |        496        506 |      47,     49,3      46,4      49,8 |      49,8 +^ SO<sub>x</sub>      |  1,319 |  1,332 |  1,323 |  1,336 |    744 |    742 |    742 |    744 |    496 |    496 |    496 |    495    506 |   48.6   49.2   48.1 |   45.9 |   46.5   48.1 
-^ BC<sup>1</sup>      |       57,4       58,0       57,6 |       58,2       32,4       32,3       32,3       32,4       21,6       21,6 |       21,6 |       22,1       22,4      18,1 |      24,     18,3      14,7 |      14,7 +^ BC<sup>1</sup>      |   70.8   71.2   70.8 |   71.6 |   39.8   39.7   39.7   39.7   26.5   26.5   26.5 |   25.6 |   25.6 |   14.2   18.0   20.1 |   19.1   18.9   21.4 
-^ PM<sub>2.5</sub>    |        479        483        480        485        270        269        269        270        180        180        180        184        187       151       205       153       123       123 +^ PM<sub>2.5</sub>    |    590    594    590    596    331    331    331    331    221    221    221    213    213    118    150    168    159    158 |    179 
-^ PM<sub>10</sub>            526        532        528        533        297        296        296        297        198        198        198        203        206       166       226       168       135       135 +^ PM<sub>10</sub>        649    653    649    656    365    364    364    364    243    243    243    234    235    130    165    184    175    173 |    197 
-^ TSP<sup>2</sup>            526        532        528        533        297        296        296        297        198        198        198        203        206       166       226       168       135       135 +^ TSP<sup>2</sup>        649    653    649    656    365    364    364    364    243    243    243    234    235    130    165    184    175    173 |    197 
-^ CO                  |        162        162        162        162        162        162        162        162        162        162        162        162        167       165       198       167       134       134 +^ CO                  |    179    179    179    179    179    179    179    179    179    179    179    175    173    144    162    157    156    150 |    151 
-<sup>1</sup> estimated from f-BCs as provided in [(EMEPEEA2019)]: f-BC (HFO) = 0.12, f-BC (MDO/MGO) = 0.31 as provided in [((bibcite 2))], chapter: 1.A.3.d.i, 1.A.3.d.ii, 1.A.4.c.iii Navigation, Tables 3-1 & 3-2 \\+<sup>1</sup> estimated from f-BCs as provided in [(EMEPEEA2019)]: f-BC (HFO) = 0.12, f-BC (MDO/MGO) = 0.31 as provided in [(EMEPEEA2019)], chapter: 1.A.3.d.i, 1.A.3.d.ii, 1.A.4.c.iii Navigation, Tables 3-1 & 3-2 \\
 <sup>2</sup> ratios PM<sub>2.5</sub> : PM<sub>10</sub> : TSP derived from the tier1 default EF as provided in [(EMEPEEA2019)], chapter: 1.A.3.d.i, 1.A.3.d.ii, 1.A.4.c.iii Navigation, Tables 3-1 & 3-2 <sup>2</sup> ratios PM<sub>2.5</sub> : PM<sub>10</sub> : TSP derived from the tier1 default EF as provided in [(EMEPEEA2019)], chapter: 1.A.3.d.i, 1.A.3.d.ii, 1.A.4.c.iii Navigation, Tables 3-1 & 3-2
  
-**NOTE:** For the country-specific emission factors applied for particulate matter, no clear indication is available, whether or not condensables are included. +<WRAP center round info 100%> 
 +For the country-specific emission factors applied for particulate matter, no clear indication is available, whether or not condensables are included. 
 +</WRAP>  
 + 
 +<WRAP center round info 100%> 
 +For information on the **emission factors for heavy-metal and POP exhaust emissions**, please refer to Appendix 2.3 - Heavy Metal (HM) exhaust emissions from mobile sources and  Appendix 2.4 - Persistent Organic Pollutant (POP) exhaust emissions from mobile sources. 
 +</WRAP>
  
-> For information on the **emission factors for heavy-metal and POP exhaust emissions**, please refer to Appendix 2.3 - Heavy Metal (HM) exhaust emissions from mobile sources and  Appendix 2.4 - Persistent Organic Pollutant (POP) exhaust emissions from mobile sources. 
  
 ===== Discussion of emission trends===== ===== Discussion of emission trends=====
Line 92: Line 88:
 **NFR 1.A.3.d i** is **not considered in the key category analysis**. **NFR 1.A.3.d i** is **not considered in the key category analysis**.
  
-Emission trends for unregulated pollutants (such as **NH<sub>3</sub>**, **NO<sub>x</sub>**, **NMVOC** and **CO**, all **HM** and **POPs**) with only slight changes in the annual over-all IEFs applied, follow the trends in fuel consumption and the shares of diesel and heavy fuel oil:+Basically, with no significant technical improvements with respect to mitigation technologies, trends in emissions depend more or less directly the amounts of fuels bunkered in German harbours and the contributions of diesel oil/light heating oil and heavy fuel oil to the over-all fuel input. 
 + 
 +Here, as the amounts of fuels allocated to international maritime navigation represent the remains of annual over-all inland fuel deliveries minus fuel consumption in domestic shipping, activity data and, hence, emissions, fluctuate strongly from year to year (see also information on activity data as stated above). 
 + 
 +Therefore, especially emission trends for unregulated pollutants (such as **NH<sub>3</sub>**, **NO<sub>x</sub>**, **NMVOC** and **CO**, all **HM** and **POPs**) with only slight changes in the annual over-all IEFs applied, follow the trends in fuel consumption and the shares of diesel and heavy fuel oil: 
 + 
 +{{ :sector:energy:fuel_combustion:transport:navigation:em_1a3di_nox.png?700 }}
  
-On the other handthe emission trends for **SO<sub>x</sub>** and **PM**, both depending on the fuel's sulphur content, follow not only the trends in fuel consumption but do also reflect fuel-sulphur legislation:+In contrast, emission trends for **SO<sub>x</sub>** and **PM**, both depending on the fuel's sulphur content, follow not only the trends in fuel consumption but do also reflect fuel-sulphur legislation:
  
 +{{:sector:energy:fuel_combustion:transport:navigation:1a3di_em_so2.png?700| Annual sulphur oxides emissions }}
 +{{:sector:energy:fuel_combustion:transport:navigation:em_1a3di_pm.png?700| Annual particulate matter emissions }}
 ===== Recalculations ===== ===== Recalculations =====
  
-Resulting from changes in the fuel consumption data computed within [(DEICHNIK2020)] for //domestic// maritime navigation, the **activity data** for 2017  for //international// maritime navigation have been reviesed.+Resulting from changes in the fuel consumption data computed within [(DEICHNIK2021)] for //domestic// maritime navigation, the **activity data** for //international// maritime navigation have been revised for the entire timeseries.
  
-__Table 3: Revised fuel consumption data 2017, in terajoules__ +__Table 3: Revised annual fuel consumption data, in terajoules__ 
-||= ||= **Diesel oil** ||= **Heavy fuel oil** ||= **over-all consumption** ||= +                                1990    1995    2000    2005    2006    2007    ^  2008    ^  2009    ^  2010    ^  2011    ^  2012    2013    2014    2015    2016    ^  2017    2018    2019   ^ 
-||~ Submission 2020 ||> 22,924 ||> 58,781 ||> 81,828 ||> +| **DIESEL OIL**                                                                                                                                                                                         ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ 
-||~ Submission 2019 ||> 23,165 ||> 58,781 ||> 82,069 ||> +^ current submission              13,162  13,096  13,709 |  11,820 |  15,629 |   12,954 |    8,075 |   14,095 |   16,417 |   15,020 |  12,181 |  11,875 |  13,801 |  33,958 |   32,832 |  27,463 |  21,473 |  20,231 | 
-||~ absolute change ||> -241  ||> 0.00  ||> -241  ||> +^ previous submission            |  12,748 |  12,919 |  13,664 |  11,993 |  15,817 |   17,524 |   13,105 |   14,412 |   16,662 |   15,370 |  12,594 |  12,414 |  13,674 |  33,088 |   28,093 |  22,924 |  15,213 |  18,327 | 
-||~ relative change ||> -1.04% ||> 0.00% ||> -0.29% ||>+^ absolute change                |     413 |     176 |    44.9 |    -173 |    -188 |   -4,570 |   -5,030 |     -317 |     -246 |     -350 |    -412 |    -539 |     126 |     870 |    4,738 |   4,538 |   6,260 |   1,904 | 
 +^ relative change                |   3.24% |   1.36% |   0.33% |  -1.44% |  -1.19% |   -26.1% |   -38.4% |   -2.20% |   -1.48% |   -2.28% |  -3.27% |  -4.35% |   0.92% |   2.63% |    16.9% |   19.8% |   41.1% |   10.4% | 
 +| **HEAVY FUEL OIL**                                                                                                                                                                                     ||||||||||||||||||| 
 +^ current submission              76,942  62,066  67,080  83,224  83,164  101,820  101,466   90,542   91,169 |   90,779 |  85,586 |  75,559 |  71,598 |  57,792 |   74,807 |  58,707 |  39,308 |  26,565 
 +^ previous submission             68,484  56,323  60,984  78,182  78,257   96,625 |   96,017 |   85,865 |   86,934 |   86,687 |  81,171 |  71,364 |  67,670 |  57,850 |   74,837 |  58,781 |  39,380  26,601 
 +^ absolute change                  8,458   5,743 |   6,096 |   5,042 |   4,907 |    5,195 |    5,449 |    4,678 |    4,236 |    4,092 |   4,415 |   4,195 |   3,928 |   -57.9 |    -30.0 |   -74.1 |   -71.7 |   -35.9 | 
 +^ relative change                  12.4%   10.2% |   10.0% |   6.45% |   6.27% |    5.38% |    5.68% |    5.45% |    4.87% |    4.72% |   5.44% |   5.88% |   5.80% |  -0.10%   -0.04%  -0.13%  -0.18%  -0.14% | 
 +| **OVER-ALL FUEL CONSUMPTION**                                                                                                                                                                          ||||||||||||||||||| 
 +^ current submission              90,239  75,275 |  80,910 |  95,187 |  98,941 |  114,946 |  109,706 |  104,794 |  107,747 |  105,958 |  97,914 |  87,565 |  85,527 |  91,888 |  107,800 |  86,299 |  60,872 |  46,866 | 
 +^ previous submission            |  81,354 |  69,346 |  74,760 |  90,310 |  94,215 |  114,320 |  109,286 |  100,428 |  103,751 |  102,210 |  93,905 |  83,904 |  81,466 |  91,075 |  103,085 |  81,828 |  54,674 |  44,995 | 
 +^ absolute change                  8,885   5,929 |   6,150 |   4,877 |   4,726 |      626 |      420 |    4,367 |    3,996 |    3,748 |   4,009 |   3,661 |   4,060 |     813 |    4,715 |   4,471 |   6,197 |   1,871 | 
 +^ relative change                |   10.9% |   8.55%   8.23% |   5.40% |   5.02% |    0.55% |    0.38%    4.35% |    3.85% |    3.67% |   4.27% |   4.36% |   4.98% |   0.89% |    4.57%   5.46% |   11.3% |   4.16% | 
 +<sup>1</sup> as provided in AGEB(2021) [(AGEB2021)], line 6: "Hochseebunkerungen": including light heating oil 
  
 +In addition, all country-specific **emission factors have been revised** compared to last year's submission but cannot be displayed here.
  
-In contrast, all country-specific and default **emission factors applied remain unrevised** compared to last year's submission. 
  
-<WRAP center round info 60%> +<WRAP center round info 65%> 
-For more information on recalculated emission estimates for Base Year and 2018, please see the pollutant-specific recalculation tables following chapter [[general:recalculations:start | 8.1 - Recalculations]].+For **pollutant-specific information on recalculated emission estimates for Base Year and 2019**, please see the recalculation tables following [[general:recalculations:start|chapter 8.1 - Recalculations]].
 </WRAP> </WRAP>
  
 ===== Uncertainties ===== ===== Uncertainties =====
  
-Uncertainty estimates for **activity data** of mobile sources derive from research project FKZ 360 16 023: "Ermittlung der Unsicherheiten der mit den Modellen TREMOD und TREMOD-MM berechneten Luftschadstoffemissionen des landgebundenen Verkehrs in Deutschland" by Knörr et al. (2009) [((bibcite 5))].+Uncertainty estimates for **activity data** of mobile sources derive from research project FKZ 360 16 023: "Ermittlung der Unsicherheiten der mit den Modellen TREMOD und TREMOD-MM berechneten Luftschadstoffemissionen des landgebundenen Verkehrs in Deutschland" by Knörr et al. (2009) [(KNOERR2009)].
  
 ===== Planned improvements =====  ===== Planned improvements ===== 
Line 124: Line 140:
 ===== FAQs ===== ===== FAQs =====
  
-[(AGEB2020> AGEB, 2020: Working Group on Energy Balances (Arbeitsgemeinschaft Energiebilanzen (Hrsg.), AGEB): Energiebilanz für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland; URL: http://www.ag-energiebilanzen.de/7-0-Bilanzen-1990-2018.html, Köln & Berlin, 2020.)] +[(AGEB2021> AGEB, 2021: Working Group on Energy Balances (Arbeitsgemeinschaft Energiebilanzen (Hrsg.), AGEB): Energiebilanz für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland; URL: http://www.ag-energiebilanzen.de/7-0-Bilanzen-1990-2019.html, Köln & Berlin, 2021.)] 
-[(DEICHNIK2020> Deichnik, K. (2019): Aktualisierung und Revision des Modells zur Berechnung der spezifischen Verbräuche und Emissionen des von Deutschland ausgehenden Seeverkehrs. from Bundesamts für Seeschifffahrt und Hydrographie (BSH); Hamburg, 2020.)]+[(DEICHNIK2021> Deichnik, K. (2021): Aktualisierung und Revision des Modells zur Berechnung der spezifischen Verbräuche und Emissionen des von Deutschland ausgehenden Seeverkehrs. from Bundesamts für Seeschifffahrt und Hydrographie (BSH); Hamburg, 2021.)]
 [(EMEPEEA2019> EMEP/EEA (2019): EMEP/EEA air pollutant emission inventory guidebook 2019, URL: https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/emep-eea-guidebook-2019; Copenhagen, 2019.)] [(EMEPEEA2019> EMEP/EEA (2019): EMEP/EEA air pollutant emission inventory guidebook 2019, URL: https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/emep-eea-guidebook-2019; Copenhagen, 2019.)]
-[(RENTZ2008> Rentz et al., 2008: Nationaler Durchführungsplan unter dem Stockholmer Abkommen zu persistenten organischen Schadstoffen (POPs), im Auftrag des Umweltbundesamtes, FKZ 205 67 444, UBA Texte | 01/2008, January 2008; URL: http://www.umweltbundesamt.de/en/publikationen/nationaler-durchfuehrungsplan-unter-stockholmer )] 
 [(KNOERR2009> Knörr et al. (2009): Knörr, W., Heldstab, J., & Kasser, F.: Ermittlung der Unsicherheiten der mit den Modellen TREMOD und TREMOD-MM berechneten Luftschadstoffemissionen des landgebundenen Verkehrs in Deutschland; final report; URL: https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/sites/default/files/medien/461/publikationen/3937.pdf, FKZ 360 16 023, Heidelberg & Zürich, 2009.)] [(KNOERR2009> Knörr et al. (2009): Knörr, W., Heldstab, J., & Kasser, F.: Ermittlung der Unsicherheiten der mit den Modellen TREMOD und TREMOD-MM berechneten Luftschadstoffemissionen des landgebundenen Verkehrs in Deutschland; final report; URL: https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/sites/default/files/medien/461/publikationen/3937.pdf, FKZ 360 16 023, Heidelberg & Zürich, 2009.)]